Remnants of Ernesto in EPAC - Is INVEST 94E

[Extratropical94]

No invest yet, maybe because the Ernesto file hasn't been deactivated.

1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF WEAKENING TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ERNESTO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THIS
DISTURBANCE TO DEVELOP AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE COAST OF
MEXICO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[tolakram]

As an FYI for anyone who might ask ...

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WITH THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IF
THIS IS THE CASE...IT WILL ACQUIRE A NEW DEPRESSION NUMBER...OR A
NEW NAME IF IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
ERNESTO.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/1500Z 18.0N 99.2W 20 KT 25 MPH
12H 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[tolakram]

[Extratropical94]

Up to 70%.

1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO IS PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF THE
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[tolakram]

Is INVEST 94E viewtopic.php?f=59&t=113326