Updated NOAA season prediction: 12-17 Storms

[Extratropical94]

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories201 ... pdate.html

They're now forecasting 12 to 17 storms to form and increased the chance of a above-normal season to 35%.

[cycloneye]

Here is a more detailed discussion by them.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/o ... cane.shtml

[floridasun78]

did colo release their too?

[cycloneye]

did colo release their too?

Here is the thread about the CSU August update where they also increased their numbers.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=113222&p=2247910#p2247910

[KWT]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Strongly suspect we'll be on the lower side of those figures, in the 12-14 range, despite the active start.

[Ptarmigan]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Strongly suspect we'll be on the lower side of those figures, in the 12-14 range, despite the active start.

El Nino is developing.

[Stormcenter]

In this day and age when everything way out in Atlantic is now named if shows any circulation the increase in the number of predicted storms doesn't surprise me. Anyway remember ladies and gentlemen it's the quality and the quantity of the sstorms that matters most. IMO

[Ptarmigan]

In this day and age when everything way out in Atlantic is now named if shows any circulation the increase in the number of predicted storms doesn't surprise me. Anyway remember ladies and gentlemen it's the quality and the quantity of the sstorms that matters most. IMO

Very true. Some seasons did not have many storms and were active like 1961, 1998, and 2004. Less active, but horrific were 1900, 1972, 1983, 1992, and 1994. They were all devastating seasons.