Since I didn't see a thread started for this area yet...here goes.
I believe that this area near Jamaica, Haiti, and PR is what the models are hinting at sending up towards the GOM towards this weekend.
SFT
Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
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SouthFLTropics
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Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
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StormTracker
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Re: Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
As a matter of fact CH7(WSVN)mentioned an area of disturbance in the area you are referencing last night and I have been waiting to see something pop up about it here on S2K! Can you post a graphic to show what you are talking about?
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Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!
Re: Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
FWIW. Joe B mentioned that yesterday.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
both the CMC and NOGAPS have latched on but not the GFS....
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Hurricane Alexis
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Re: Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
ROCK wrote:both the CMC and NOGAPS have latched on but not the GFS....
It was only one run, and the CMC doesn't develop it anymore in the 00z run.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Hurricane Alexis
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00z NOGAPS now shows the main vorticity splitting and spawning 2 TC's, one going to the FL big bend and the other to mid Texas coast(this one being stronger than the Fl one).
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Dean4Storms
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wxman57
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Re: Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
ROCK wrote:both the CMC and NOGAPS have latched on but not the GFS....
The Canadian and NOGAPS weren't developing the wave in the eastern Caribbean. A close look at the projected low-level vorticity in each model indicates that they developed something moving northward off the NW coast of Colombia. Bogus, most likely.
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Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
From the 8am TWD: TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 13N76W TO 22N74W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
CYCLONIC FLOW IS NOTED IN LOW-LEVEL GLOBAL MODEL STREAMLINE
ANALYSES ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND A MOISTURE MAXIMUM IS
NOTED ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY BETWEEN 69W-79W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN
70W-78W. THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 19N77W WHICH IS
PROVIDING MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND MAXIMUM DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
CYCLONIC FLOW IS NOTED IN LOW-LEVEL GLOBAL MODEL STREAMLINE
ANALYSES ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND A MOISTURE MAXIMUM IS
NOTED ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY BETWEEN 69W-79W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN
70W-78W. THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 19N77W WHICH IS
PROVIDING MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND MAXIMUM DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
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Houstonia
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Re: Greater Antilles Wave - Models hint at possible GOM threat..
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ngp_troplant&prod=z85&dtg=2012080906&set=Tropical
Is that the same storm, now headed for Corpus Christi area?
Is that the same storm, now headed for Corpus Christi area?
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