Area near Barbados

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colbroe
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Area near Barbados

#1 Postby colbroe » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:36 am

In the last few hours there has been a rapid concentration of heavy thunderstorms just to the East of Barbados any thoughts anyone
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#2 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:45 am

Here is the area of tstorms just east of Barbados...
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#3 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:01 am

A closeup...
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#4 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:07 am

An observation from a friend of Grenada speaking about this area of rainshowers moving near its island :darrow:
:rarrow: http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/grenada.shtml

A large area of rain near Barbados
•By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
•Date: Sat, 06 Aug 2011 08:09:56 -0400


Good morning Grenada,

The radar and the satellite images are showing a large area of rain just ENE of Barbados. It looks like they may get some rain from this in the next couple of hours. The system that is causing this could easily give Grenada some rain today, but it does look like the worst of this rain is moving in a North Westerly direction.
The Windguru web site is giving small amounts of rain later this afternoon and evening. Lets hope it stays off for the Panorama in the Stadium this evening.
08:00 this morning the sky is mostly hazy but clear, except for some fluffy low clouds and some high cloud way off to the East.
Hogan of Grenada
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Re: Area near Barbados

#5 Postby chris_fit » Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:13 am

That's one healthy Blob!
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#6 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:20 am

Visible 1345 UTC...

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#7 Postby crownweather » Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:25 am

Looking at it this morning, it looks like divergence caused by a trough of low pressure located to the NE of Puerto Rico. WV loops show this quite well. Not much, if any, vorticity and upper level conditions become pretty hostile in the Caribbean. I say no to development.
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#8 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:27 am

Here is the twave mentionned by the latest TWD moving near the Windwards islands.

000
AXNT20 KNHC 061155
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT AUG 06 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1115 UTC.


...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 15N51W TO 10N54W
MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND AHEAD OF A BROAD NWD SURGE OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE EVIDENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. BROAD
CYCLONIC FLOW IS ALSO AROUND THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN
50W-54W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-14N
BETWEEN 56W-59W.




$$
WALTON
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Re:

#9 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:31 am

crownweather wrote:Looking at it this morning, it looks like divergence caused by a trough of low pressure located to the NE of Puerto Rico. WV loops show this quite well. Not much, if any, vorticity and upper level conditions become pretty hostile in the Caribbean. I say no to development.

Hopefully :) the upper level conditons are not really conducive and today we should deal in the islands with only and maybe some rain and isolated tstorms.
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#10 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 11:16 am

Things are warming up a bit here as Meteo-France Guadeloupe and Martinica have requiered a yellow alert for strong showers and tstorms there is a few minutes. Strong showers and tstorms shoud spread this afternoon and especially tonight. Given Meteo-France forecast, this yellow code should stay active until Monday night?! :eek: make me a bit surprising. Stay tuned. I will keep you informed hoping that Guadeloupe won't get to much rain from this event as Martinica...
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#11 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 12:00 pm

Latest weather conditions for Guadeloupe by Meteo-France Guadeloupe
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... h_guad.php

The time for the next few hours on the Guadeloupe

12: 45 Pm the level of vigilance is: yellow rain /orages
Currently, if it keeps of partly cloudy, showers begin to arrive by the South-East.
For the next 3 hours, the showers should take the extent becoming more frequent and sometimes stormy, particularly on the South of the archipelago: Marie-Galante and Les Saintes, Basse-Terre and its relief and region Pointoise.
These observations and immediate changes will be updated to 15: 45.
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#12 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 12:11 pm

Area of strong showers and tstorms approaching the Northern Windwards and not so far from the Leewards islands(Guadeloupe).
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#13 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:17 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 062354
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT AUG 06 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER
ANTILLES ALONG 18N54W 12N58W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MOSTLY W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12-18N BETWEEN 58W-63W.


$$
FORMOSA
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