TSR: Typhoon season in the lower 25% since 1965

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Macrocane
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TSR: Typhoon season in the lower 25% since 1965

#1 Postby Macrocane » Wed Aug 04, 2010 12:37 pm

TSR has issued its August update and they are forecasting a very inactive season:

TSR lowers its forecast and anticipates the 2010 Northwest Pacific Typhoon Season will see activity 25-30% below the 1965-2009 climate norm. If verified, this forecast would place 2010 typhoon activity in the lowest 25% since 1965


The numbers are: 22.8/13.4/6.1 with an ACE of 217
The average is: 26.6/16.6/8.6 with an ACE of 299

http://tropicalstormrisk.com/
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#2 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 4:37 pm

Yeah thats pretty slow for the WPAC, that ACE isn't much higher then what they predict for the Atlantic amazingly enough, one to watch for!
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Re: TSR: Typhoon season in the lower 25% since 1965

#3 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Aug 04, 2010 8:32 pm

About time, I've been saying to anyone who would listen that the WPAC season would be slow since January.

Steve
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Re: TSR: Typhoon season in the lower 25% since 1965

#4 Postby Macrocane » Wed Aug 04, 2010 8:34 pm

It's not surprising that this season was going to be inactive especially with La Niña in place but I never imagined how slow it was going to be.
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