BOC getting active?

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dixiebreeze
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BOC getting active?

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Jun 04, 2010 11:28 pm

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Re: BOC getting active?

#2 Postby LaBreeze » Sat Jun 05, 2010 4:01 am

Is this just the remnants of Agatha?
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#3 Postby KWT » Sat Jun 05, 2010 6:03 am

Upper high sitting to the SW, some pretty strong shear racing just to the NW of the upper high with the system sort of sitting in the middle. My guess is that its probably being helped by the shear in the first place.
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Re: BOC getting active?

#4 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jun 05, 2010 6:43 am

LaBreeze wrote:Is this just the remnants of Agatha?


No, what's left of Agatha is out in the Atlantic southeast of Bermuda. But upper level winds from the BoC through the western Gulf area running from 35-70 kts. Tremendous shear across the region. Nothing can develop in that. There will be a drop-off in the shear toward the middle of next week, though.
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#5 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Jun 05, 2010 8:26 am

What was that, that moved into the Yucatan from the Pacific and had the huge blow up of convection? (can see it on the tropical wave loop). Looking like a low of some sort...assuming ULL?
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Re: BOC getting active?

#6 Postby USTropics » Sat Jun 05, 2010 10:02 am

From the 8:00AM Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion:

A WEAKENING SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 21N90W OVER THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 17N94W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS S OF 21N E OF 95W TO INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN
AND S MEXICO.
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Re: BOC getting active?

#7 Postby SFLcane » Sat Jun 05, 2010 2:11 pm

As wxman57 mentioned conditions aloft are awful across the gulf with strong westerlies in the order of 40-60kts blowing through there.Some models due show shear relaxing sometime next week.
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Re: BOC getting active?

#8 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Jun 05, 2010 10:55 pm

BOC looking pretty active again tonight.
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Re: BOC getting active?

#9 Postby tailgater » Sun Jun 06, 2010 10:23 am

I doubt seriously this will do anything development wise but want watch this loop. Lots of moisture.
Image
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#10 Postby KWT » Sun Jun 06, 2010 12:23 pm

Nice big upper high sitting over the Yucatan right now so if any wave/convective balls decide to head into the NW Caribbean then they at least won't have bad conditions...I wouldn't have liked to see 91L in that set-up anyway..I doubt it'd have ended as quickly as it did...
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#11 Postby IvanSurvivor » Sun Jun 06, 2010 1:26 pm

Maybe posting in the wrong topic, but can someone give their opinion on the flare up or whatever you want to call it in the Gulf?
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