The First Active Tropical Wave in the Atlantic

[OURAGAN]

Here is the discussion:

ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 8N32W TO 2N34W MOVING W 10-15
KT. THIS WAVE CORRESPONDS WITH AN AMPLIFIED MAXIMUM IN DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE EVIDENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN
27W-36W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
2N-4N BETWEEN 31W-35W.

[Cookie]

already had the first on this year mate.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=107900

[Fego]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

There it is....

[cycloneye]

850mb vorticity looks very good as well the low level convergence,but if it goes a little north,it will get a haircut. Impressive for being only May 12th.

[RL3AO]

Watch out French Guiana and Suriname!

[Fego]

May be is a double thread... although this is about the first active and the other about the first wave of the year. But again, it seems that is about the same theme.

[OURAGAN]

Exactly, I know it is not the first tropical wave of the season, but is the first Active One.

[cycloneye]

This wave may not develop at this time but could be a sign of things to come in this upcoming season as tropical waves tend to strengthen out over the Atlantic under predominantly favorable conditions in the comming months. Maybe when it reaches the Western Caribbean it may do something,combining with the wet MJO?

[Fego]

I Agree Ouragan, btw I hope everything is ok in Guadalupe. As you may know, your island is extremely important for us every time that a tropical system is approaching the Caribbean.

[cycloneye]

Some rotation evident in RGB loop

[cycloneye]

For those in the Caribbean that are comming for the first time this year,we have a thread for the Caribbean and Central American members where we can discuss about the weather in the islands and in Central America at U.S & Caribbean Weather forum.

viewtopic.php?f=24&t=85676&p=1981564#p1981564

[tolakram]

You can see the rotation in the MIMIC-TPW

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... /main.html

[KWT]

There does indeed seem to be some slight turning occuring, though that may also be an illusion of the upper winds ripping the storm clouds off to the ENE.

still its certainly the first wave to show any real activity thats for sure.

[Gustywind]

I Agree Ouragan, btw I hope everything is ok in Guadalupe. As you may know, your island is extremely important for us every time that a tropical system is approaching the Caribbean.

Thanks Ouragan for this post . Where were you? We never saw you on our thread, don't forget to go there ! You can post any informations from your islands and keep us informed

[lester]

Could this be one that...

[Gustywind]

BEAR WATCHING for sure Lester88 lol Let's wait and see as usual but i think that we're very far away of that for the moment .

[WeatherLovingDoc]

Hahaha. Gotta love that picture of the bears Lester. Thank goodness we finished with that record snowy winter, yes? Now on to a different form of water watching.

[Gustywind]

BEAR WATCHING :lol:
The future family if the waves continue to pop steadily?

[OuterBanker]

Unless something unforseen puts a cabash on the CV season we are in for a very long hurricane season. Last year the CV was shut down, everything exiting Africa dissapeared even in the heart of the season. This does not bode well.

[Cainer]

Well, it's given us our second (I think) purple probability dot of the year at least!