92L invest for wave at islands

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cycloneye
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92L invest for wave at islands

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 20, 2003 8:14 am

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082012

We have 92L invest as those models are starting to track the LLC at 13n 60w.So there you have it.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Aug 20, 2003 1:34 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 20, 2003 8:19 am

Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Aug 20, 2003 8:21 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#3 Postby ameriwx2003 » Wed Aug 20, 2003 8:20 am

SHIPS seems to like the chances for development:):)
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 20, 2003 8:23 am

Yes they see a hurricane down the road but time will tell.
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#5 Postby wx247 » Wed Aug 20, 2003 8:28 am

Glad to finally see an invest. We shall see what happens over time.
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 20, 2003 8:56 am

Looks like it is consolidating slowly but steadily.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Aug 20, 2003 9:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby alicia-w » Wed Aug 20, 2003 9:31 am

Do y'all have a link for SHIPS data? Thanks.
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#8 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 20, 2003 9:53 am

Interestingly Invest 92L does not have a LLCC yet according to the latest quikscat image. So obviously we are dealing with midlevels at this time. This is not to say it isn't reaching for the surface, but that it isn't there yet. Usually, even with rain contaminated images it is obvious if there is a LLCC.

Meantime, looking far East to the disturbance over the Cape Verde Islands there is a definite LLCC, albeit devoid of much if any convection, which can be interpolated from the quickscat passes on either side the disturbance.

Due to current conditions, both of these disturbances need to be watched IMO. Even though the one over the CV Islands is relatively far N for a system to not become a fish, I would not write off its' chances at continuing W to some sort of landfall involving the islands and/or the CONUS yet.
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#9 Postby mf_dolphin » Wed Aug 20, 2003 11:56 am

If you look at the QuickScat storm page http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/storm_at_ima ... _at_0.html and compare the Ascending and Descending pass there is a hint of some bend in the wids on the west side. Definitely no sign of a LLC but maybe a hint ... :-)

OK OK OK I'm grasping at straws LOL
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#10 Postby mf_dolphin » Wed Aug 20, 2003 12:49 pm

Looks like we may have some banding trying to start especially to the south of the main convection. :-)
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 20, 2003 1:35 pm

Nothing defined yet but something may be going to the surface from that mid level circulation.
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Rainband

#12 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 20, 2003 1:37 pm

I love "waiting" don't you!!!!! :o :lol:
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ColdFront77

#13 Postby ColdFront77 » Wed Aug 20, 2003 1:49 pm

Sure, Jonathan... fun to watch the situation evolve. There are more than two factors for development with this area of convection.
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Rainband

#14 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 20, 2003 2:08 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:Sure, Jonathan... fun to watch the situation evolve. There are more than two factors for development with this area of convection.
I agree tom..This is one to watch!!! :o
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#15 Postby bfez1 » Wed Aug 20, 2003 2:20 pm

:o :o :o I'm watching and waiting. :o :o :o
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