TX/MX prepare for a Cat 2 Cane

wrkh99 · #1 Postby **wrkh99** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:02 pm

Be safe and good luck .

Colin · #2 Postby **Colin** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:05 pm

Cat 2??? :o

southerngale · #3 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:07 pm

I doubt it wrkh99....JMO

Stormsfury · #4 Postby **Stormsfury** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:12 pm

Actually, wrkh99 has a point ... prepare for the worst and hope for the best ...it's better to overprepare ...

SF

#5 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:16 pm

It better hurry. The outer perimeter of the heavier squalls should reach the coast in about 7 hours. A good bit of the storm will be inland in 10-11 hours. Not much time to strengthen to a Cat 2. Minimal Cat 1 is still doubtful, particularly with the semi-exposed center to the northeast.

southerngale · #6 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:17 pm

Yeah, that's true SF....I just don't think it will reach cat.2 status. Better safe than sorry though!!!

isobar · #7 Postby **isobar** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:18 pm

However, the forward speed should give it quite a boost on the north side. Close call.

wrkh99 · #8 Postby **wrkh99** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:26 pm

Well Claudette should have be classified as a cat 2 and this storms pressure has dropped 7mb since the last adv. It's has really good chance to be a min cat 2 at landfall .

Stormsfury · #9 Postby **Stormsfury** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:28 pm

wrkh99 wrote:Well Claudette should have be classified as a cat 2 and this storms pressure has dropped 7mb since the last adv. It's has really good chance to be a min cat 2 at landfall .

Claudette was deemed a 90 mph hurricane at landfall ... pretty close but high end Cat. 1 ... The 1001 mb pressure with Erika now correlates to a 50 mph tropical storm. Also remember the lag with pressure drops and wind increases, they aren't immediate ...

SF

#10 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:46 pm

Also...Claudette wasn't moving at 20+mph. That makes a big difference. Each storm is different and you can't judge one by what another did. If nothing changes in the structure or speed...there is no way this makes a cat 2...and maybe not even a cat one. My bet is 70-80 range.

#11 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:48 pm

Also...any boost on the north side due to the fast speed is already factored in my the winds measured in the dropsonds.

#12 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Aug 15, 2003 1:59 pm

I was going to make that same point, AF Met. Just today I heard some TV weatherman say that you have to add the forward speed to the max winds to get the winds on the north side of this storm. Of course, the official storm designation for max sustained wind already takes this storm mortion into account.

TX/MX prepare for a Cat 2 Cane

TX/MX prepare for a Cat 2 Cane

Better Hurry

Yep

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