Disturbed Weather in Eastern Atlantic

[cycloneye]

Big system out there.I dont think it will develop as shear is strong,but never say never.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OMAR...LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE
DIMINISHED TODAY. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN IS
CENTERED INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS SYSTEM IS NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM
NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
WITHIN THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE HAS FORMED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT ABOUT
10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 172330
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED HURRICANE OMAR...LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES EAST OF
BERMUDA.

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN IS
CENTERED INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS SYSTEM IS NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM
NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
WITHIN THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
LIKELY DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT
ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JAMAICA.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

[Gustywind]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 180547
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...


A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
LIKELY DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT
ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 180543
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W/34W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT.
THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD WESTWARD-MOVING DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE SURGE BASED ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT FROM
CIMSS. COMPUTER MODEL GUIDANCE AND CIMSS WAVETRAK PRODUCT SHOW A
DISTINCT MAXIMUM IN LOW LEVEL COUNTERCLOCKWISE CIRCULATION
AROUND WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM
EITHER SIDE OF WAVE AXIS.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OMAR...LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA.

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
REMAINS CENTERED INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS SYSTEM IS NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM
NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN JAMAICA AND HAITI. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W/34W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT.
THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD WESTWARD-MOVING DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE SURGE BASED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT
FROM CIMSS. COMPUTER MODEL GUIDANCE AND CIMSS WAVETRAK PRODUCT
SHOW A DISTINCT MAXIMUM IN LOW LEVEL COUNTERCLOCKWISE
CIRCULATION AROUND WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE AXIS N OF 8N.

[Sanibel]

Weak rotation westbound near 38W.