Read special features section of 2:05 Discussion of TPC

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cycloneye
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Read special features section of 2:05 Discussion of TPC

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 13, 2003 1:05 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/Weather-Central/ ... lantic.htm

Things are changing to more favorable they say.
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 13, 2003 1:07 pm

You can look at the Satellite and see that Just kidding.. seriously..thanks LUIS!!! :lol: :lol: :wink:
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Rainband

#3 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 13, 2003 1:14 pm

Short term (thu-fri)...big story is trough with weak low approaching
from the Bahamas. 06z model runs still in pretty good agreement of
carrying a low through the straits with its associated trough across
the peninsula. 12z models running late but 12z mesoeta still
continues this trend. Visible satellite imagery looks more impressive
than it did 24 hours ago...but most of the convection appears to be
developing in response to a middle level vorticity maximum rather than the actual
surface center. With surface low pressure to move south of the forecast area...
would expect northeast winds to pick up tonight and become more
easterly tomorrow. Going to keep persistence for now with most
concentrated rainfall falling in the southern part of the forecast area as the
system moves across. Satellite trends would suggest much of the forecast area
getting into the heavier precipitation...but we've seen flare-ups before
only to weaken again. Later shifts may need to update if the northern
burst holds together.
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