(Police blocking traffic to Bob Sikes Bridge)Dennis Anniversary thread, July 11th, R.I.P Dennis
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Opal storm
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Jim Cantore
It was by this point that the projected path shifted to the west, and Dennis was expected to plow into Mobile bay with 140mph winds, turns out the original track taking it near Pensacola was the correct one.
One year ago today, the latest advisory
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005
...DENNIS STRENGTHENS TO 135 MPH...NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA
BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND
ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES
SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BILOXI MISSISSIPPI.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL
BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER
TODAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS
FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 937 MB...27.67 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY MORNING.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8
INCHES FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI NORTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES
LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...WITH 1 TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
KEYS...AS WELL AS OVER CUBA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION...27.0 N... 85.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 937 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
One year ago today, the latest advisory
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005
...DENNIS STRENGTHENS TO 135 MPH...NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA
BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND
ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES
SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BILOXI MISSISSIPPI.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL
BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER
TODAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS
FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 937 MB...27.67 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY MORNING.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8
INCHES FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI NORTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES
LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...WITH 1 TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
KEYS...AS WELL AS OVER CUBA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION...27.0 N... 85.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 937 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
0 likes
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r_u_stuck2
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 40
- Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:55 am
- Location: Pensacola, Fl
freelance storm-chasing photojournalist
Hurricane Dennis Video Blog Page
http://lightningboy.com/Hurricane_Dennis/
Just found this today. Sorry for the late post and reviving an older thread. This is a photojournalist who chased dennis and posted videos. I am not inclined to view them since I lived through it. But for those of you who are bored and need something to do, you might find this interesting.
http://lightningboy.com/Hurricane_Dennis/
Just found this today. Sorry for the late post and reviving an older thread. This is a photojournalist who chased dennis and posted videos. I am not inclined to view them since I lived through it. But for those of you who are bored and need something to do, you might find this interesting.
0 likes
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Jim Cantore
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
NOON CDT SUN JUL 10 2005
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF LANDFALL...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT
KEY FLORIDA.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT NOON CDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA
BY MID-AFTERNOON.
DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NOW NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINING HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...AND
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR
THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY
OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE
HURRICANE.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS
LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL
AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES
LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
REPEATING THE NOON CDT POSITION...29.6 N... 86.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 939 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005
RECONNAISSANCE WIND AND PRESSURE DATA...AS WELL AS SATELLITE
IMAGERY...INDICATE THAT THE EARLIER INTENSIFICATION TREND HAS
CEASED. MOST RECENT ESTIMATED PRESSURE WAS 930 MB...AND THE
HIGHEST RECENT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 131 KT. BASED ON THESE
OBSERVATIONS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED SLIGHTLY TO 120 KT.
ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS NOW MOVING OVER WATERS OF SOMEWHAT LOWER HEAT
CONTENT...IT IS MOVING RAPIDLY ENOUGH THAT ONLY MODEST CHANGES IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR THE THRESHOLD BETWEEN SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORIES THREE
AND FOUR.
AFTER AN EARLIER NORTHWARD WOBBLE...DENNIS IS NOW BACK ON A
NORTH-NORTHWEST HEADING...340 DEGREES...BUT AT A FASTER FORWARD
SPEED. THIS MOVES THE TIMING OF LANDFALL UP A FEW HOURS...TO
MID-AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE A COUPLE
HOURS IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS
BEEN ADJUSTED ABOUT 30 MILES TO THE EAST AS A RESULT OF THE EARLIER
NORTHWARD JOG...AND LIES ON THE RIGHT-HAND SIDE OF A TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE
REMNANTS OF THE HURRICANE ARE EXPECTED TO STALL IN THE VICINITY OF
THE OHIO VALLEY.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 10/1500Z 29.4N 86.7W 120 KT
12HR VT 11/0000Z 31.5N 87.8W 85 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 11/1200Z 33.9N 88.8W 50 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 12/0000Z 35.8N 89.3W 30 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 12/1200Z 37.5N 89.0W 25 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 13/1200Z 38.5N 88.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
96HR VT 14/1200Z 39.0N 86.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 15/1200Z 39.0N 86.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
$$
NNNN
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
NOON CDT SUN JUL 10 2005
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF LANDFALL...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT
KEY FLORIDA.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT NOON CDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA
BY MID-AFTERNOON.
DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NOW NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINING HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...AND
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR
THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY
OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE
HURRICANE.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS
LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL
AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES
LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
REPEATING THE NOON CDT POSITION...29.6 N... 86.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 939 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005
RECONNAISSANCE WIND AND PRESSURE DATA...AS WELL AS SATELLITE
IMAGERY...INDICATE THAT THE EARLIER INTENSIFICATION TREND HAS
CEASED. MOST RECENT ESTIMATED PRESSURE WAS 930 MB...AND THE
HIGHEST RECENT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 131 KT. BASED ON THESE
OBSERVATIONS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED SLIGHTLY TO 120 KT.
ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS NOW MOVING OVER WATERS OF SOMEWHAT LOWER HEAT
CONTENT...IT IS MOVING RAPIDLY ENOUGH THAT ONLY MODEST CHANGES IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR THE THRESHOLD BETWEEN SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORIES THREE
AND FOUR.
AFTER AN EARLIER NORTHWARD WOBBLE...DENNIS IS NOW BACK ON A
NORTH-NORTHWEST HEADING...340 DEGREES...BUT AT A FASTER FORWARD
SPEED. THIS MOVES THE TIMING OF LANDFALL UP A FEW HOURS...TO
MID-AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE A COUPLE
HOURS IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS
BEEN ADJUSTED ABOUT 30 MILES TO THE EAST AS A RESULT OF THE EARLIER
NORTHWARD JOG...AND LIES ON THE RIGHT-HAND SIDE OF A TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE
REMNANTS OF THE HURRICANE ARE EXPECTED TO STALL IN THE VICINITY OF
THE OHIO VALLEY.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 10/1500Z 29.4N 86.7W 120 KT
12HR VT 11/0000Z 31.5N 87.8W 85 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 11/1200Z 33.9N 88.8W 50 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 12/0000Z 35.8N 89.3W 30 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 12/1200Z 37.5N 89.0W 25 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 13/1200Z 38.5N 88.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
96HR VT 14/1200Z 39.0N 86.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 15/1200Z 39.0N 86.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
$$
NNNN
0 likes
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Opal storm
-
Noles2006
- Category 1
- Posts: 424
- Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:57 am
- Location: Tallahassee, Florida
- Contact:
Dennis...
Opal storm wrote:Yeah around this time I was setting up the ole generator...again.Hopefully I won't be doing that this year.Ivanhater wrote:Well at this time last year, I was sitting at my house with no power AGAIN, man life sucks with no power
Still can't believe the 12+ foot storm surge that was created hundreds of miles east of landfall in Wakulla County, just south of Tallahassee...
0 likes
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Jim Cantore
Re: Dennis...
Noles2006 wrote:Opal storm wrote:Yeah around this time I was setting up the ole generator...again.Hopefully I won't be doing that this year.Ivanhater wrote:Well at this time last year, I was sitting at my house with no power AGAIN, man life sucks with no power
Still can't believe the 12+ foot storm surge that was created hundreds of miles east of landfall in Wakulla County, just south of Tallahassee...
Lucky it weakened or else it may have been 15
0 likes
1 year ago this evening, my family and I were in Montgomery, Alabama, with friends, waiting for Dennis and watching WKRG live via internet...It soon became apparent that Dauphin Island was going to be fine...Our homes were totally unscathed...We had dodged "the big one"...or at least we thought...little did we know what the coming months had in store for our tiny community... 
0 likes
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SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
-
Jim Cantore
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005
...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...
...STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD
TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8 PM CDT...0100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE
87.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON ALABAMA IN
EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS
IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS. STORM
SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
DENNIS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA.
REPEATING THE 8 PM CDT POSITION...31.7 N... 87.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
NNNN
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005
...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...
...STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD
TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8 PM CDT...0100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE
87.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON ALABAMA IN
EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS
IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS. STORM
SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
DENNIS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA.
REPEATING THE 8 PM CDT POSITION...31.7 N... 87.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
NNNN
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docjoe
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 262
- Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 10:42 pm
- Location: SE Alabama..formerly the land of ivan and dennis
Well this time last year the generator was going, the walmart window unit was in place with a mattress on the floor trying to stay cool and my 2 acres was flooded and another 20 or so trees were down.The roof was in bad shape and part of the chimney was in the yard. No power for the next several days. The big lesson I learned was Sept canes are better than July canes cause july is @#$ hot!!! For the week or so after Dennis our heat index was 105-110 each day..absolutely miserable. Santa Rosa county was an absolute mess. Although it was quite a blow Katrina and Rita soon followed and made alot of us realize that despite home damage, yard and tree damage, etc....it can be much worse
docjoe
docjoe
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Opal storm
docjoe wrote:Well this time last year the generator was going, the walmart window unit was in place with a mattress on the floor trying to stay cool and my 2 acres was flooded and another 20 or so trees were down.The roof was in bad shape and part of the chimney was in the yard. No power for the next several days. The big lesson I learned was Sept canes are better than July canes cause july is @#$ hot!!! For the week or so after Dennis our heat index was 105-110 each day..absolutely miserable. Santa Rosa county was an absolute mess. Although it was quite a blow Katrina and Rita soon followed and made alot of us realize that despite home damage, yard and tree damage, etc....it can be much worse
docjoe
No kidding!During Ivan we had a few cold fronts pass through so it wasn't that bad,but with Dennis it was terrible.Even with all the fans we had set up inside it was a struggle to keep the house cool.
Santa Rosa did get torn up.I drove through the area a day or so after the storm and it was amazing how there was minimal damage in Pensacola but once you crossed the hwy 90 bridge to Pace and Milton it was like Ivan all over again.My parents live in Milton and their roof was blown off,fortunately they weren't home though.
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beachbum_al
- Category 5
- Posts: 2163
- Age: 55
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
- Location: South Alabama Coast
- Contact:
Opal Storm,
I went to Pace to help my sister move the rest of her stuff out of her house after Dennis. They didn't have power at the time and it was miserable. We all drove back to Fairhope and they stayed here until the power was restored. My sister took me through the area and it was bad. Buildings were either missing part or all of the roofs. Homes were missing part of the roof or the whole thing.
I went to Pace to help my sister move the rest of her stuff out of her house after Dennis. They didn't have power at the time and it was miserable. We all drove back to Fairhope and they stayed here until the power was restored. My sister took me through the area and it was bad. Buildings were either missing part or all of the roofs. Homes were missing part of the roof or the whole thing.
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beachbum_al
- Category 5
- Posts: 2163
- Age: 55
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
- Location: South Alabama Coast
- Contact:
Watching the television nonstop!
Boarding up the house for the unthinkable. At this time we thought Dennis was coming directly toward us.
Sunset at the beach two days before Dennis hit FL. We were securing the condos down at Orange Beach.
Riding out the storm in Daphne where husband works. Yes that is my child on the porch. She is safe. She was so interested in the weather. I thought it would scare her but she was too interested in it.
And the big protector. Looks like he is really protecting the house. LOL He did go with us. Of course I just had to throw this pic in. I don't think it was taken during Dennis.
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Jim Cantore
July 11
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005
...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...STILL A RAINFALL THREAT...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 40 MILES WEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND
A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND
SOUTHERN INDIANA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER NORTHERN ALABAMA...
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...33.3 N... 88.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON DENNIS. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH...
BEGINNING AT 10 AM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005
...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...STILL A RAINFALL THREAT...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 40 MILES WEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND
A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND
SOUTHERN INDIANA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER NORTHERN ALABAMA...
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...33.3 N... 88.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON DENNIS. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH...
BEGINNING AT 10 AM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
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