Zeta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[aquifer]

Wow so that joke that HURAKAN made about Zeta spread around the internet sites.

Actually, I read that joke here and briefly fell for it. I was this close to running to tell my editors we had a new storm. It was a good joke.

This season has turned me into an obsessive reader of the forums here. The discussions, analysis and historical perspective on this site have been incredibly valuable for me as someone just getting his feet wet in the world of hurricanes -- so thanks to all of you, and have a great 2006.

(Of course, I'm not sure if people here would think "great" means no hurricanes or a lot of them -- or a lot of hurricanes that don't hit land.)


Bob King
Hurricane reporter/blogger
The Palm Beach Post

[WindRunner]

Thanks for all the kind words about the board, Bob, and I think we all enjoy the press every once in a while

[kevin]

Awesome, we have a reporter that was a lurker!

[Loring]

amazing... now we may end up referring to it as the 2005/6 season, lol.

and zeta isnt a 'z' letter, its a 'zeta' letter.


and also the more storms we have in january on a new alphabet, the further down the alphabet well start next season, and the more likely well hit greek again. though i dont think itll happen. im calling (and hoping) for a relatively calm 2006. id like to build a house and id like an insurance company to write me a reasonably priced policy without any begging.

[Margie]

I gotta say I wasn't fooled at all by the fake Zeta post. But then, I've been watching that area very closely since Monday, and knew the current status, and so knew right away that nothing was out there at that time. I learned from a met that I knew this autumn, to always keep track of the big picture.

The real Zeta formed quickly enough anyway, about 12-24 hours ahead of when I thought it would occur.

And, since all of the convection is now NNE of the center (shear is causing a flareup the last couple hours), which is very close to the wall of drier air that is continuing to push into the convection, and part of the LLC is exposed, unless there is a short comeback overnight, I think Zeta will be stripped of its core convection before too long.

[HURAKAN]

NICE PICTURE OF ZETA!

[WindRunner]

And when did Zeta have winds of 35 knots? Gotta love those "Images of the Day"

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

463
WHXX04 KWBC 302319
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL STORM ZETA 30L

INITIAL TIME 18Z DEC 30

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 25.0 37.0 310./ 6.0
6 24.9 37.4 257./ 3.4
12 24.6 37.8 232./ 4.2
18 24.5 37.9 214./ 2.1
24 24.5 38.0 304./ 1.0
30 24.5 38.2 270./ 1.7
36 24.6 38.5 290./ 2.9
42 24.7 38.8 282./ 2.7
48 24.5 39.4 255./ 6.1
54 24.4 40.0 257./ 5.7
60 24.3 40.7 267./ 6.1
66 24.4 41.5 271./ 7.6
72 24.4 42.0 273./ 4.8
78 24.4 42.3 264./ 2.6
84 24.4 42.8 272./ 4.2
90 24.6 42.9 329./ 2.5
96 24.6 43.1 265./ 1.9
102 24.2 43.2 187./ 3.4
108 24.2 43.4 259./ 2.4
114 24.1 44.0 264./ 5.1
120 24.3 44.4 294./ 4.3
126 24.4 44.6 290./ 1.9

[cycloneye]

30/2330 UTC 25.7N 37.3W ST2.5/3.0 97 -- Atlantic Ocean


The latest SSD dvorak T numbers.They have it as a subtropical system.

[Scorpion]

I think its entirely possible to get a subtropical storm to form in January, so perhaps we won't get a real break between '05 and '06.

[cycloneye]

TPNT KGWC 310010
A. TROPICAL STORM ZETA
B. 30/2331Z (139)
C. 25.7N/4
D. 37.0W/0
E. SIX/GOES12
F. ST2.5/2.5/STT:SO.O/06HRS -30/2331Z-
G. IR/EIR

38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .40 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. FT BASED ON DT,
PT AGREES.

AODT: 3.0 (CRVD BND)

KAMINSKI


Air Force Sat Estimates.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM ZETA (AL302005) ON 20051231 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051231 0000 051231 1200 060101 0000 060101 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 25.7N 37.3W 25.4N 37.1W 24.9N 35.8W 24.6N 33.9W
BAMM 25.7N 37.3W 25.8N 38.1W 25.8N 38.6W 25.5N 39.3W
A98E 25.7N 37.3W 26.5N 37.8W 26.9N 37.6W 27.7N 36.6W
LBAR 25.7N 37.3W 26.4N 37.3W 26.8N 37.4W 27.0N 37.4W
SHIP 45KTS 39KTS 32KTS 24KTS
DSHP 45KTS 39KTS 32KTS 24KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060102 0000 060103 0000 060104 0000 060105 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 25.1N 32.2W 25.3N 31.4W 24.1N 27.3W 21.5N 9.7W
BAMM 25.2N 40.3W 24.9N 42.3W 25.3N 43.0W 25.4N 44.5W
A98E 27.7N 35.8W 27.2N 34.1W 26.0N 32.1W 25.6N 30.2W
LBAR 27.1N 37.5W 26.1N 37.6W 26.0N 36.1W 25.8N 33.5W
SHIP 17KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 17KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 25.7N LONCUR = 37.3W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 24.6N LONM12 = 36.5W DIRM12 = 315DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 23.9N LONM24 = 35.4W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1019MB OUTRAD = 225NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 175NM RD34SE = 200NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 75NM


00:00z Models.No changes in intensity nor in the pressure.

[HURAKAN]

Something to be saved for future generations!

[jimvb]

Late in December, nearly a month after the hurricane people have stopped atlantic-outlooking, a tropical storm forms! How long will this continue? Will there be another tropical storm in January or February? If so, I think the NHC will call it Alberto.

I think it should be called Eta, instead. The peak of the hurricane season comes close to August 31/September 1 midnight, and the official hurricane season is on three months on either side of this midnight. So it would make sense to start the hurricane season on the date directly opposite from this midnight, just as we put the International Date Line directly opposite western Europe, which is midway among the great land masses in the world. That would mean the season would continue until February 28 or 29, and the next season would start on March 1. The NHC won't do this because it is calendarist. It follows the calendar instead of the tropical weather.

But since February 28 or 29/March 1 midnight is the nadir of the hurricane season in the Northern Hemisphere, it is the peak of the season in the southern hemisphere. Will we see another Catarina this year? What would they name it if one formed? Alberto? Rio? Eta?

[lester]

It's incredible that I am making this thread.

There's a Zeta?

[johngaltfla]

Excuse me, but there is not one single icon for a screaming raving lunatic so these will have to do:



IF the new theories about underwater volcanic activity heating up the oceans holds true, then us Floridians are truely screwed.

Happy New Years to all and OH MY GOD.

[Javlin]

Good job Jimbo on the forcast.

[Weather Watcher]

Hi,

When I saw the Zeta joke it fooled me too. I looked on wunderground to see the posting but it was not there. Then I got home tonight from sled riding and wow a ts zeta I am glad it is way too far from land. What a season!!!

God bless everyone and Happy New Year!!!

Steve

P.S. sled riding was fun we got 3 inches of snow here in Phillips Wisconsin.

[HurricaneGirl]

Holy Crap!!

[johngaltfla]

:D Holy Crap!!

WOO-HOO!

We can now put the nail in the coffin of 2005. Thank GOD Hurricane Girl showed up with the traditional and mandatory HC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!