Tropical Wave at Caribbean

#81 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 12:26 pm

oh okay, that is what I thought.

Yes, I will definitely be watching this wave as it looks like it could develop over the next couple of days.

caribepr · #82 Postby **caribepr** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 12:32 pm

cycloneye wrote:AN AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY ABOUT 650 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL
WAVE. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM COULD OCCUR OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

11:30 AM TWO.

Fellow members who live in the Eastern Caribbean Islands let's watch the progress of this wave.

I was wondering if anything would come of this wave...I knew I shouldn't have come home for lunch!

#83 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 12:34 pm

it looks to be moving very rapidly. Wouldn't that mean the chances of cyclone development would be low until it's forward speed slowed down some?

OURAGAN · #84 Postby **OURAGAN** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:01 pm

Pressure is falling at 41040 buoy.

#85 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:05 pm

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41040

Above is the link to that bouy.

Tropicswatcher · #86 Postby **Tropicswatcher** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:26 pm

Wave looking better than yesterday. But, looking at that buoy data, pressures remain about the same as this time yesterday.

#87 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:29 pm

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE WHICH IS ALONG 49W/50W SOUTH
OF 19N MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT REALLY LOOKS GREAT ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE LOW CLOUDS COVERS THE
ATLANTIC WATERS FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 45W AND 56W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
13N TO 17N BETWEEN 48W AND 55W. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM MAY OCCUR DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

2 PM Discussion.

#88 Postby **bvigal** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:39 pm

Wow! What a change from TWO 11:30 to TWD 2pm! :eek:

Website · #89 Postby **Brent** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:41 pm

Gamma before November?

:eek:

#90 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:42 pm

bvigal wrote:Wow! What a change from TWO 11:30 to TWD 2pm!

Now what will really rise this wave chances will be when they put up invest 92L.

#91 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:45 pm

Now what will really rise this wave chances will be when they put up invest 92L.

I think we will have an invest shortly

:eek:

#92 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 1:48 pm

any speculation on future track yet?

Looks like it's moving nearly due W, maybe just slightly north of W with a strong ridge above it.

#93 Postby **msbee** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:15 pm

is that thing moving our way Luis?

Duffy · #94 Postby **Duffy** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:21 pm

i am confused...there's two distint Blobs there....what one are we supposed to be watching? The one on the Top or the Bottom?

Website · #95 Postby **Brent** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:23 pm

Duffy wrote:i am confused...there's two distint Blobs there....what one are we supposed to be watching? The one on the Top or the Bottom?

One farther northeast.

#96 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:27 pm

msbee wrote:is that thing moving our way Luis?

Yes moving westward.We have to watch it as slowly it's organizing according to the 5:30 PM outlook from NHC.Regardless if it develops or not it will be a wet Halloween day for the NE Caribbean islands.

#97 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:32 pm

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
BECOMING A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD.

5:30 PM TWO

CHRISTY · #98 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:33 pm

is there model runs on this wave yet? interesting setup with a high to the north of it .... lets see how far west this thing gets before another trough comes and turns it north. florida maybe??

#99 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:33 pm

Luis, not much interest yet in this blob. That is because most people in S. Florida are still in the dark.

I personally think this one will be Gamma down the road. It's starting to have alot of moderate to strong convection blowing up this afternoon.

#100 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Oct 29, 2005 4:35 pm

is there model runs on this wave yet? interesting setup with a high to the north of it .... lets see how far west this thing gets before another trough comes and turns it north. florida maybe??

No troughs in sight for the next 10 days so this baby should continue off to the west for a while with the strong ridging above it. In fact this ridging extends all the way through to where Beta is and is helping Beta move westward (although heights above Beta building are the long-term cause of the Beta's westward movement).

I was looking at temperatures up in the northeast U.S towards the end of this coming week and it's not getting cold yet...so no troughs to make this a fish unfortunately 8-)

Tropical Wave at Caribbean

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