13 miles until water for Katrina

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LAwxrgal
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#81 Postby LAwxrgal » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:08 am

I've had enough of Crazy Kat and her fickle behavior. I'm going to bed. Night. Or should I say morning :grrr:
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Wake me up when November ends
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#82 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:09 am

Even today on the evening news they said it would be getting back over the water around 1p.m. tomorrow. She's 12 hours early!
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Stormcenter
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Re: hmmm..

#83 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:11 am

LilNoles2005 wrote:I've been trying, and trying, and trying to find the recent noticeable SW jog that you guys are talking about, but I don't see it... in fact, in the past hour, it looks like it's moving less southerly than it had been the previous 6 hours...


Look here and you can see another jog southward in the last frame.
:)

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... evzoom=pan
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#84 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:12 am

All I know is that it will have approx 72 hours over warm water, give or take a few hours, and that's a huge amount of time for major strengthening. Think about how quickly Katrina intensified just a few hours prior to landfall today where conditions were less than ideal. What's it going to do once it gets in the gulf where conditions are much better? :(
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LilNoles2005
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are you sure..

#85 Postby LilNoles2005 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:19 am

are you sure that Katrina isn't playing tricks on your eyes?

I think what you might be seeing is an ERC?... It looks like an inner eyewall may be forming... I'm just guessing here, though... you can see it a little better here..

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&ID=BYX&type=N0R&frame=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&num=6&showstorms=0&scale=0.750&centerx=324&centery=317&showlabels=1&map.x=391&map.y=197
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LilNoles2005
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aagghhh

#86 Postby LilNoles2005 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:21 am

ahhh... nevermind... on this latest frame, I see what you're talking about! Sorry!
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#87 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:21 am

No eye trickery and no ERC. She's not strong enough for an ERC. The whole system is moving SW. For those saying she's not, you're not looking.
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superfly

#88 Postby superfly » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:22 am

A cat 1 does not undergo ERC and especially not over land.
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