Emily looking worse on satellite...

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Scorpion

#81 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 12, 2005 8:14 pm

Without a doubt South America will kill thing thing at this rate.
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Steve
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#82 Postby Steve » Tue Jul 12, 2005 8:15 pm

Come on Chris, you don't wanna bet. Last time I challenged you to a week of self-banishment over a dying storm you begged off. That blob yielded Cindy. ;)

Emily has a pretty nice outflow presentation. The thing she's got going against her is her apparent WSW motion (fairly rare to see a storm hit Venezuela - assuming that's the country at the top of South America). That would be a bizarre track for any season.

Steve
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TheShrimper
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#83 Postby TheShrimper » Tue Jul 12, 2005 8:23 pm

Sure looks like she is traveling south of west. the NHC forecast points are way off if we are assuming the center is located in the mass of convection. There may be a slight hint that the actual center is removed from the convection and located in the upper left of the mass. That would be the only way the points would come close to verifying. If that is the case, then Emily has alot of reorganizing to do.
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#84 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 8:40 pm

TheShrimper wrote:Sure looks like she is traveling south of west. the NHC forecast points are way off if we are assuming the center is located in the mass of convection. There may be a slight hint that the actual center is removed from the convection and located in the upper left of the mass. That would be the only way the points would come close to verifying. If that is the case, then Emily has alot of reorganizing to do.


good point...i was thinking the same thing....that the center is in the NW part of the tstorms...cuz, you can barely see the center push through on the ir loop...we will see but, it could be in the NW part of....
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