Spacecoast wrote:GFS goes west and NAV goes north....
https://i.ibb.co/1nVz6yx/ecmc.jpg
id like what the nav is smoking, no way a TC gets forced poleward with this ridge in place for the next few days
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Spacecoast wrote:GFS goes west and NAV goes north....
https://i.ibb.co/1nVz6yx/ecmc.jpg
wxman57 wrote:GFS is starting to come to its senses, at least in the short term. It takes a depression or weak TS into the Yucatan Saturday then west or west-southwest, perhaps skirting the southern Bay of Campeche Sunday/Monday. Strong ridging across the Gulf will prevent any northward movement. Just some rain for Central America and southern Mexico. 00Z and 06Z GFS runs insist on a strong hurricane in the Gulf beyond day 12. I wouldn't count on it. 00Z run's Cat 4 off the mid Texas coast in 16 days could bring us some rain, though.
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