Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

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DanKellFla
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#81 Postby DanKellFla » Sat Jul 18, 2009 5:50 am

Downdraft wrote:Threads like this infuriate me. Nobody in Homestead, Florida thought the 1992 season was boring I can assure you. Go around telling people it's going to be a boring or dead season and less will prepare, less will buy water and supplies and everyone gets complacent. Saying this is a boring season is as idiotic as trying to crystal ball anything in weather. The risks to population centers along our coasts are just to high to call anything boring.


I was there. But, at that time we didn't have a board like this to keep us informed with threads like this. I take this thread with a grain of salt and some humor.
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#82 Postby Jevo » Sun Jul 19, 2009 9:12 am

Yep.... Although I did get my severe weather fix yesterday.... 14 hours of Storm Chasers Season 1 and 2 back to back...... Never watched the show... now I can't wait for season 3

Go TIV Go
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#83 Postby Category 5 » Mon Jul 20, 2009 1:32 pm

DanKellFla wrote:
Downdraft wrote:Threads like this infuriate me. Nobody in Homestead, Florida thought the 1992 season was boring I can assure you. Go around telling people it's going to be a boring or dead season and less will prepare, less will buy water and supplies and everyone gets complacent. Saying this is a boring season is as idiotic as trying to crystal ball anything in weather. The risks to population centers along our coasts are just to high to call anything boring.


I was there. But, at that time we didn't have a board like this to keep us informed with threads like this. I take this thread with a grain of salt and some humor.


If we have another 2004, this thread will be REALLY funny. I'll run out of "fail" pics.
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#84 Postby Night Tide » Mon Jul 20, 2009 4:09 pm

I know it's fun to track storms, but I'll be relieved if we escape this season without any catastrophic ones.

I don't think we can afford another 2004. Literally. With the economy being the way it is, I'm not sure so many people can afford to evacuate, and I don't know that there will be as much charitable aid as there was in the past few years. Last year, Red Cross actually went into debt trying to help people out after Hurricane Gustav. It's a little unnerving.

So, I say: Keep on sleepin', tropics!
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#85 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Jul 20, 2009 4:42 pm

Downdraft wrote:Threads like this infuriate me. Nobody in Homestead, Florida thought the 1992 season was boring I can assure you. Go around telling people it's going to be a boring or dead season and less will prepare, less will buy water and supplies and everyone gets complacent. Saying this is a boring season is as idiotic as trying to crystal ball anything in weather. The risks to population centers along our coasts are just to high to call anything boring.


I think that when people say "boring" what they mean is that there's nothing worthwhile tropic wise to talk about, which makes this board dead . I don't think anyone means that it's "bad" that that no canes are forming.

Heck you can have fishies spinning out in the open atlantic with no possible threat to land, and at least there will be multiple paged threads discussing it. I think that's what we want.
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#86 Postby Cookie » Mon Jul 20, 2009 6:04 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Heck you can have fishies spinning out in the open atlantic with no possible threat to land, and at least there will be multiple paged threads discussing it. I think that's what we want.


spot on mate
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#87 Postby Category 5 » Mon Jul 20, 2009 6:31 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Downdraft wrote:Threads like this infuriate me. Nobody in Homestead, Florida thought the 1992 season was boring I can assure you. Go around telling people it's going to be a boring or dead season and less will prepare, less will buy water and supplies and everyone gets complacent. Saying this is a boring season is as idiotic as trying to crystal ball anything in weather. The risks to population centers along our coasts are just to high to call anything boring.


I think that when people say "boring" what they mean is that there's nothing worthwhile tropic wise to talk about, which makes this board dead . I don't think anyone means that it's "bad" that that no canes are forming.


na, it just means there's nothing in the Atlantic. :wink:
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#88 Postby DanKellFla » Tue Jul 21, 2009 3:35 pm

Category 5 wrote:
DanKellFla wrote:
Downdraft wrote:Threads like this infuriate me. Nobody in Homestead, Florida thought the 1992 season was boring I can assure you. Go around telling people it's going to be a boring or dead season and less will prepare, less will buy water and supplies and everyone gets complacent. Saying this is a boring season is as idiotic as trying to crystal ball anything in weather. The risks to population centers along our coasts are just to high to call anything boring.


I was there. But, at that time we didn't have a board like this to keep us informed with threads like this. I take this thread with a grain of salt and some humor.


If we have another 2004, this thread will be REALLY funny. I'll run out of "fail" pics.


failblog.org

Maybe Aric can make another clever pic of the tropics, but this time showing that it is alive. All I can think of is something from "Young Frakenstein."
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#89 Postby Category 5 » Tue Jul 21, 2009 7:11 pm

DanKellFla wrote:failblog.org

Maybe Aric can make another clever pic of the tropics, but this time showing that it is alive. All I can think of is something from "Young Frakenstein."


Mel Brooks, I like your taste. :D
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#90 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jul 21, 2009 8:29 pm

For the first time this season, the African portion of the ITCZ is not significantly further south than normal or its position at this time last season:

During the period from July 11-10, 2009, the African portion of the Intertropical Front (ITF) was located near 17.3N degrees, while the
normal for this time of year is 17.5N degrees. The ITF position last year was more suppressed, with a position of 16.8N. This is a change,
from earlier this year, where the ITF was lagging behind both last year and the mean at a greater distance....


REF:Climate Prediction Center Africa ITCZ monitoring
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#91 Postby Sanibel » Wed Jul 22, 2009 10:00 am

Africa has gone negative. The South America wave didn't have any depth. The basin is still negative (but warming up).
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#92 Postby DanKellFla » Fri Jul 24, 2009 5:09 am

Sanibel wrote:Africa has gone negative. The South America wave didn't have any depth. The basin is still negative (but warming up).


Striped controller: Bad news. The fog's getting thicker.
Johnny: [jumps to an overweight controller] And Leon is getting laaaaarrrrrger.

I was just reminded of that.
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#93 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Jul 24, 2009 5:22 am

:uarrow:

Seen 'Airplane" a too few many times, have ya? :lol:
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#94 Postby Sanibel » Fri Jul 24, 2009 11:04 am

What I find interesting is how the whole basin flashes off at one time all the way from Africa to the GOM and even the Bahamas wave.

Clear upper here and almost no rain like spring weather. Sun comes right through and heats it up without any rain relief.

Looks like we could go at least another 10 days without any formation. But this is getting closer to the time when it could suddenly turn on.
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#95 Postby tolakram » Fri Jul 24, 2009 11:55 am

srainhoutx wrote::uarrow:

Seen 'Airplane" a too few many times, have ya? :lol:


This statement is always true, though I don't think you meant it that way. :)

* goes off to watch Airplane again ...
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#96 Postby KWT » Fri Jul 24, 2009 1:50 pm

Indeed the whole world seems to have switched off again, not an invest in site it seems, bet it doesn't last long mind you!
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#97 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:10 pm

Maybe this will get going the EPAC and Atlantic as August arrives,and that is the wet phase of MJO.

Image
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#98 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Fri Jul 24, 2009 10:35 pm

Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue.

Surely you can't be serious.
I am serious....And don't call me Shirley.
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#99 Postby Sanibel » Fri Jul 24, 2009 11:03 pm

Just by offhand logic, if you compared this season to 2004 when Bonnie finally showed up as a surface core in the Yucatan Straits around the end of July you might say we should see development in around a week. But 2004 was part of an Atlantic Oscillation surge peaking in 2005. So the safer bet would say 2009 is drier and less favorable than 2004. An extension of the negativity into August is probably a wise assumption. As I posted before, with all the talk every year of an Andrew type season this might actually be such a season.
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Re: Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

#100 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Jul 25, 2009 10:34 am

OK bring it on....mentally ready for another hurricane. Hope we dont get another one but if one heads this way I am ready.

Just finished looking at Andrew photos at TropMet.com

http://www.tropmet.com/gallery/hurrican ... andrew.htm

I hope to never experience an Andrew. Microbursts at 215-225mph for 10-20 seconds.
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