Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#781 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:31 pm

Looks a little tiny bit weaker compared to 12z. Perhaps a sign???

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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#782 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:33 pm

Oh man this is going to be good... :spam:
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#783 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:38 pm

Again...just a tiny bit weaker than 12z but still there.

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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#784 Postby storminabox » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:39 pm

Fairly similar to the 0z run so far...
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#785 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:39 pm

Definitely a slightly weaker vort through 30 hours compared to past runs, but whether that will affect the grand scheme of things remains to be seen.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#786 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:43 pm

36hrs. Kingarabian is right. Slightly weaker vort. I see slightly less red and orange colors around the vort.

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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#787 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:46 pm

@48hrs. Still there but weaker than the last 3-4 runs for sure.

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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#788 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:47 pm

18z GFS is the weakest in 7 runs through 48 hours.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#789 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:49 pm

GFS finally might be coming to its senses this run. Let's see what it does.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#790 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 4:50 pm

12Z NAVGEM = has nothing
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#791 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:01 pm

Odds favor this not developing at all with nearly every model showing such and the Op-GFS trending that way.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#792 Postby HurricaneEric » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:03 pm

Here we go. 18z GFS w/ 1010mb low at hour 84 as opposed to the 1003mb weak TS it had at hour 84 for 12z run. Trending weaker.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#793 Postby storminabox » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:04 pm

GFS coming in much weaker than prior runs.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#794 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:06 pm

Glad this version of the GFS will be replaced next week with the GFS-para.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#795 Postby Alyono » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:08 pm

I suspect the GFS FINALLY sees the massive SAL outbreak behind this wave
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#796 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:09 pm

Hold your horses lol, strengthening @ hr 108 under that wall of shear.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#797 Postby SFLcane » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:11 pm

Lol gfs complete joke...not much here to see. :spam:
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#798 Postby HurricaneEric » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:19 pm

From 12z to 18z. Think thats a bit of a difference Image

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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#799 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:22 pm

got to give it to the EURO on this one...sniffed it out a long time ago after having it then dropping. Looks like the GFS got the hiccup out of its data for now.
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Re: Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands

#800 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Jul 10, 2017 5:22 pm

Yup, time for OP GFS to go...
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