Hurricane Wilma Recon Discussion Thread

gotoman38 · #701 Postby **gotoman38** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:30 pm

Looks like they're starting to descend....

position:
http://maps.google.com/maps?q=21.5,+-85 ... oc=A&hl=en

#702 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:31 pm

these google maps are great..thanks!

#703 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:34 pm

here we go!!!!

johngaltfla · #704 Postby **johngaltfla** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:38 pm

I wonder if 882 is at risk tonight. That eye looks mighty healthy....

#705 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:39 pm

i doubt it is back under 900...may be cat 5 winds though again

mtm4319 · #706 Postby **mtm4319** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:40 pm

My guess is 917/155. No way it will get below 882 with that large of an eye. The winds would have to be close to 200 for that.

#707 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:43 pm

mtm4319 wrote:My guess is 917/155. No way it will get below 882 with that large of an eye. The winds would have to be close to 200 for that.

don't you jinx us...a few nights ago, all of us said no way it is goes under 915 with that small of an eye, it will collapse first

#708 Postby **angelwing** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:44 pm

The way this season has been breaking the rules, nothing surprises me anymore :eek:

#709 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:46 pm

i'll say 918/160 mph

bigmoney755 · #710 Postby **bigmoney755** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:49 pm

908mb and 165mph is my guess

mtm4319 · #711 Postby **mtm4319** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:49 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:My guess is 917/155. No way it will get below 882 with that large of an eye. The winds would have to be close to 200 for that.

don't you jinx us...a few nights ago, all of us said no way it is goes under 915 with that small of an eye, it will collapse first

Wasn't the reason Wilma fell to 882 because it had a 2-mile-wide eye?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #712 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:50 pm

905 millibars with 165 mph winds....

#713 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:51 pm

894
SXXX50 KNHC 210448
AF306 1324A WILMA HDOB 22 KNHC
0438 2033N 08518W 03051 0025 121 071 094 070 072 03082 0000000000
0438. 2032N 08519W 03050 0024 121 075 088 076 075 03080 0000000000
0439 2030N 08520W 03051 0021 120 076 080 078 077 03078 0000000000
0439. 2029N 08521W 03050 0017 120 078 078 072 079 03073 0000000000
0440 2027N 08522W 03048 0013 121 080 084 070 081 03066 0000000000
0440. 2026N 08523W 03053 0011 119 080 090 074 081 03069 0000000000
0441 2025N 08524W 03051 0004 118 081 094 074 081 03061 0000000000
0441. 2023N 08525W 03047 0000 117 082 090 074 084 03053 0000000000
0442 2022N 08526W 03052 5003 116 086 090 076 087 03054 0000000000
0442. 2020N 08527W 03050 5008 117 089 088 078 089 03047 0000000000
0443 2019N 08528W 03050 5015 118 089 090 078 091 03042 0000000000
0443. 2017N 08529W 03051 5020 119 091 086 082 093 03037 0000000000
0444 2016N 08530W 03050 5026 119 093 086 082 094 03030 0000000000
0444. 2015N 08531W 03050 5034 116 091 086 078 092 03022 0000000000
0445 2013N 08532W 03053 5038 116 094 074 074 096 03020 0000000000
0445. 2012N 08533W 03048 5047 117 101 078 078 104 03006 0000000000
0446 2010N 08534W 03049 5059 117 105 076 076 107 02996 0000000000
0446. 2009N 08535W 03053 5069 114 101 066 066 102 02990 0000000000
0447 2007N 08536W 03053 5073 122 100 074 074 107 02986 0000000000
0447. 2006N 08537W 03050 5083 126 112 078 078 116 02972 0000000000

#714 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:54 pm

i believe we are still on the NW side of the storm...which hasn't looked good on sattelite so far tonight

#715 Postby **curtadams** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:56 pm

NE side, which has looked best.

clueless newbie · #716 Postby **clueless newbie** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:59 pm

That was measured to the east of Cozumel. They are not yet at the eye.

#717 Postby **CronkPSU** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:02 am

607
SXXX50 KNHC 210458
AF306 1324A WILMA HDOB 23 KNHC
0448 2005N 08538W 03052 5089 132 102 084 084 108 02968 0000000000
0448. 2004N 08539W 03050 5096 135 093 098 098 096 02960 0000000000
0449 2002N 08540W 03048 5105 132 088 098 098 088 02948 0000000000
0449. 2001N 08541W 03053 5113 127 081 114 106 083 02945 0000000000
0450 2000N 08542W 03048 5121 124 084 116 106 085 02933 0000000000
0450. 1958N 08542W 03050 5130 121 087 116 106 089 02925 0000000000
0451 1957N 08543W 03052 5141 119 090 114 104 091 02916 0000000000
0451. 1955N 08544W 03051 5151 119 095 112 102 098 02906 0000000000
0452 1954N 08545W 03048 5163 119 100 120 098 101 02890 0000000000
0452. 1953N 08546W 03049 5176 119 103 118 102 104 02878 0000000000
0453 1951N 08547W 03053 5191 119 107 108 102 108 02868 0000000000
0453. 1950N 08548W 03049 5208 118 111 100 100 112 02847 0000000000
0454 1949N 08549W 03050 5229 118 114 094 094 115 02826 0000000000
0454. 1947N 08550W 03051 5252 119 117 094 094 120 02804 0000000000
0455 1946N 08551W 03055 5279 117 121 098 098 122 02781 0000000000
0455. 1945N 08552W 03045 5308 116 123 098 098 123 02742 0000000000
0456 1943N 08553W 03065 5340 115 124 090 090 128 02731 0000000000
0456. 1942N 08554W 03039 5377 119 125 096 096 126 02667 0000000000
0457 1940N 08555W 03058 5408 118 100 108 108 109 02655 0000000000
0457. 1939N 08556W 03044 5438 117 090 132 130 092 02611 0000000000

128

gotoman38 · #718 Postby **gotoman38** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:03 am

curtadams wrote:NE side, which has looked best.

Yeah.... the first pass will be NE > SW.... first pass through the eye in the next 1 or 2 MINOBS and VDM will follow

bigmoney755 · #719 Postby **bigmoney755** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:03 am

surely winds are higher than 128kts

mtm4319 · #720 Postby **mtm4319** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:04 am

Next pass will contain the eyewall. Looks like they're going for the NE quadrant first.

Hurricane Wilma Recon Discussion Thread

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