2012 Tropical Waves

[cycloneye]

holy impressive wave that just came off affrica.

TAFB didn't introduced that one at 12z Surface Analysis,but did with new wave around 35W.

[cycloneye]

Aric,the predict team will start to hunt waves in the comming days so for sure we will see more information about the waves well before NHC introduce them.

http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/storms2012.html

[Aric Dunn]

Aric,the predict team will start to hunt waves in the comming days so for sure we will see more information about the waves well before NHC introduce them.

http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/storms2012.html

look at it. something you would see in august or sep not june. very good mid level circ and convection somewhat maintaining.

run six images.
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MS ... /index.htm

[cycloneye]

Aric,the predict team will start to hunt waves in the comming days so for sure we will see more information about the waves well before NHC introduce them.

http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/storms2012.html

look at it. something you would see in august or sep not june. very good mid level circ and convection somewhat maintaining.

run six images.
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MS ... /index.htm

Yes,looks good with the spin. I have been following it since it was in Eastern Africa and all along the track thru the continent,and it looked good all the time.

[Aric Dunn]

you can download the rammb loop. much better resolution.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... loater.zip

[RL3AO]

Tropical Wave #11
Introduced: 1200 UTC 30 June 2012

[RL3AO]

Tropical Wave #12
Introduced: 1800 UTC 30 June 2012

[OURAGAN]

[RL3AO]

Tropical Wave #13
Introduced: 0000 UTC 03 July 2012
Related thread: viewtopic.php?f=31&t=113087

[floridasun78]

we suppose to see two weak wave pass by south fl next few days

[ROCK]

so far the SAL is eating these up right at splash down....if they can stay low enough in lat they might have a chance to develope later down the line.

[Fego]

Finally we are receiving a good portion of rain with some squalls from a tropical wave that has 0 %, according with the latest TWO.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 041734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO...AND OVER
ADJACENT WATERS. A WIND GUST TO 46 MPH WAS REPORTED EARLIER TODAY
IN A BRIEF SQUALL AT ST. CROIX. GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER SQUALLS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN

[cycloneye]

Finally we are receiving a good portion of rain with some squalls from a tropical wave that has 0 %, according with the latest TWO.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 041734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO...AND OVER
ADJACENT WATERS. A WIND GUST TO 46 MPH WAS REPORTED EARLIER TODAY
IN A BRIEF SQUALL AT ST. CROIX. GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER SQUALLS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN

Maybe you are not aware but the Caribbean members have been reporting about the effects of wave at the Caribbean thread.

viewtopic.php?f=24&t=85676&p=2238382#p2238382

[NDG]

This Tropical Wave (#12) will pay a visit to FL over the weekend, as shown by the models.

[Aric Dunn]

very interesting rotation associated with the tropical wave south of Hispaniola this morning that shot out of the convection. its speeding along but like many systems should slow in the western carrib and shear is high but drops some in the western carrib.... just something to watch.

[tailgater]

This Tropical Wave (#12) will pay a visit to FL over the weekend, as shown by the models.

Yeah the northern end of this wave has a little better chance at development IMHO but still only a slight one. Some nice rains for our friends in PR.

[NDG]

very interesting rotation associated with the tropical wave south of Hispaniola this morning that shot out of the convection. its speeding along but like many systems should slow in the western carrib and shear is high but drops some in the western carrib.... just something to watch.

Yeah I see that too, this tropical wave has had a nice vorticity all along but has been moving way too fast with UL winds not on its favor which is nothing out of the ordinary for early July.

[Sanibel]

Weak low level vort. Mostly likely shear-induced convection. Interesting that it was probably a wave from the Atlantic that reconvected.

[canes04]

Nice flare up with the PR wave. Does this one have a chance in the coming days?

[ozonepete]

Looks like it's got an MLC just northeast of Dominican Republic now.