Bermuda preparations,observations and web cams thread

[HURAKAN]

Official track shifts west more closer to Bermuda.

Really close right now. If the convection tries to wrap around the center, Bermuda could experience some heavy weather.

[Chacor]

Latest Conditions
At The L.F.Wade International Airport
Recorded at 4:29 am
Showers
Temp.:
26°C/79°F
Humidity:
83%
Wind:
NE 21G33 kt

[Chacor]

SABE31 TXKF 140755
METAR TXKF 140755Z 04021KT 9999 VCSH SCT017 BKN030 BKN130
BKN170 26/23 Q1010 RMK A2983 VIS 7SM ALQDS

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 AM AST MON JUL 14 2008

...WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARRIVING IN BERMUDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...145 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA LATER
TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER. COMMANDERS POINT...AN ELEVATED OBSERVING SITE IN
BERMUDA...RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 41 MPH...67
KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 56 MPH...91 KM/HR.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5
INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...31.5 N...63.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.

[Chacor]

SABE31 TXKF 140955
METAR TXKF 140955Z 02020KT 350V050 9000 -RA SCT005 BKN016
BKN026 OVC160 25/23 Q1009 RMK A2981 VIS 6SM ALQDS

[HURAKAN]

091
WTNT32 KNHC 141141
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 45A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
800 AM AST MON JUL 14 2008

...WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE AFFECTING BERMUDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...120 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA LATER
TODAY.

BERTHA IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 68
MPH...WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT COMMISSIONER'S POINT IN BERMUDA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5
INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...31.6 N...63.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN

[senorpepr]

Bermuda Surface Plots

Updates every hour at :30

[Chacor]

SABE31 TXKF 141455
METAR TXKF 141455Z 02029G44KT 1600 -RA BR BKN006 OVC013
24/23 Q1003 RERA RMK A2965 VIS 1SM ALQDS

[Thunder44]

WTNT62 KNHC 141855
TCUAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
255 PM AST MON JUL 14 2008
THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
ISLAND OF BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT BERTHA IS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. THESE WINDS ARE LOCATED TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER IN A RAINBAND THAT WILL BE PASSING OVER
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BERTHA WILL
REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE CLEARING BERMUDA...AND FOR THIS
REASON THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
THE ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Extremeweatherguy]

Recent video out of Bermuda shows that they have been getting hit pretty hard...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHjf3HrBikw

[dwsqos2]

SPECI TXKF 141906Z 32036G53KT 0800 R30/1600U R12/1400N RA BR BKN004 OVC012 24/23 Q1001 RMK A2958 VIS 1/2SM ALQDS

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Based on recon data the strongest winds are within the southern eyewall. Also this will be inside the western part of the eyewall as it slowly moves northward...A good 6-8 hours at least, and if it becomes a cane things could get hairly.


With the large eye it would of been much better if it where about 30-40 miles west of where it is now.

[george_r_1961]

Gust to 52 kt or about 60 mph recorded at LF Wade International Airport at 4:44pm AST.

[Thunder44]

Gust to 52 kt or about 60 mph recorded at LF Wade International Airport at 4:44pm AST.

TXKF 141944Z 31039G52KT 0400 R30/1000D R12/1100D +RA BR BKN007 OVC015CB 23/23 Q1002 RMK A2961 VIS 1/4SM ALQDS EMBDD CB E-NW 

[Thunder44]

WNW winds sustained 40kts (46mph) gust 59kts (68mph) at 3:55pm

TXKF 141955Z 30040G59KT 0600 R30/0900N R12/1000D +RA BR OVC008 23/23 Q1002 RMK A2961 VIS 3/8SM ALQDS CB EMBDD ALQDS 

[cycloneye]

WTNT32 KNHC 142043
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST MON JUL 14 2008

...BERTHA CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...STRONGEST PART OF STORM
ABOUT TO PASS OVER BERMUDA.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES...100 KM...NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TO
THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO
THE EAST EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER
BERMUDA'S ELEVATED TERRAIN. BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT
THIS COULD OCCUR BEFORE BERTHA'S STRONGEST WINDS MOVE PAST BERMUDA
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MOST RECENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST
FROM THE CAROLINAS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5
INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...33.0 N...64.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Extremeweatherguy]

Another video update from Bermuda...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gjbv0QmX4qM

[caribepr]

from stormcarib.com

Bermuda has been bearing the full force of TS Bertha since about 6am this morning the wind has been blowing at 50 to 60 knots all day from the ENE. The barometer seems to have stopped falling now at 29.60. I have actually recorded 52mph at my location inland on the north side of the island its a lot worse. There are tree branches down here and there blocking traffic but no major problems have been reported as I can tell right now. There are sporadic power outages again most have been caused by falling branches. All airlines canceled flights early this morning with BA even canceling their late evening flight from and to the UK. There was a partially calm period around 1pm local with the wind returning shortly there after now from the NNW. So I assume that was some of an eye in that calm period. We are now also under a Hurricane Watch as intermittent hurricane force winds are possible for the next few hours as Bertha slowly move northward.
We have had quite a bit of rain just over 2 inches so far but the wind has been blowing the rain almost horizontal so it most likely was more.

It appears to be a bit calmer right now it continues to rain with dark overcast skies, the ocean on the north side of the island is ferocious with massive waves coming ashore. As I have said before its very much like a severe winter type storm that we have in January February. Hopefully the worst is over and thank goodness it was TS Bertha and not the Hurricane Bertha as it was late last week.

Thanks for your attention will report when time permits.

Regards
Keith

[Stephanie]

I'm so sorry that Bertha did end up bothering poor Bermuda! That youtube video clip showed that she still has some teeth. Looks more like a hurricane than a tropical storm.

[cycloneye]

WTNT32 KNHC 150251
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 PM AST MON JUL 14 2008

...CENTER OF BERTHA PULLING AWAY FROM BERMUDA...

AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA...BUT A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.7 WEST OR ABOUT 120
MILES...195 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND EAST IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...BERTHA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO...AND BERTHA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

EARLIER TODAY...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 49 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH A GUST
TO 68 MPH...109 KM/HR...WERE REPORTED AT L.F. WADE INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT IN BERMUDA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE U.S.
EAST COAST FROM THE CAROLINAS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

BERTHA COULD PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. L.F. WADE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
IN BERMUDA REPORTED 4.68 INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 800 PM AST MONDAY.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...33.8 N...63.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB