Next Wave to Exit the Coast of Africa

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sma10
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#41 Postby sma10 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 9:51 am

I have no idea as to whether this will actually become a named storm, but one thing is for sure: this system will not follow Debby's immediate path. The flow right now is much more typical of late August and early recurvature (a la Debby) looks extremely unlikely. Not saying this will cross the entire Atlantic, but this should reach 50W at the very least.
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#42 Postby fci » Fri Aug 25, 2006 9:58 am

that's okay, I like long trackers :D[/quote]

I smell a 5-10 segemnt thread on this future invest!!!
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#43 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 25, 2006 10:00 am

fci wrote:that's okay, I like long trackers :D


I smell a 5-10 segemnt thread on this future invest!!![/quote]


it's that time of year. This board's about to get insane!...September 1st is coming quick!
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#44 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Fri Aug 25, 2006 10:17 am

NHC 12Z Analysis CHhart suggests a movement toward the westsouthwest as it emerges from Africa. Note that it intensifies the system during the process from 1009mb to 1008mb.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif
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#45 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Fri Aug 25, 2006 10:34 am

Actual pressure in Dakar is of 1007mb with WNW winds
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/GOOY.html
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#46 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 25, 2006 10:36 am

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:NHC 12Z Analysis CHhart suggests a movement toward the westsouthwest as it emerges from Africa. Note that it intensifies the system during the process from 1009mb to 1008mb.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif



wow, west southwest? that's a strange direction, but not good if we want it to be a fish..
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#47 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 10:46 am

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:NHC 12Z Analysis CHhart suggests a movement toward the westsouthwest as it emerges from Africa. Note that it intensifies the system during the process from 1009mb to 1008mb.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif


That chart makes TD 5 a Cane real fast
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#48 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 25, 2006 12:43 pm

yea, I'm with the chart on this one!! This will be a fun one to watch soon....
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#49 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Fri Aug 25, 2006 7:08 pm

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A 1007 MB LOW IS JUST WEST OF THE COAST OF SENEGAL NEAR 16N18W
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. SHOWERS AND TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
LOW HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...THOUGH THIS MAY BE
PARTLY DIURNAL.

8:05pm Discussion
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#50 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 7:25 pm

Florence could be one of the major canes this season,as I expect Ernesto to be.The heavy hitters are forming :eek:
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#51 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:59 pm

Image
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#52 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Fri Aug 25, 2006 9:30 pm

TAFB forecast the low a general westward movement in the next 72 hours (without dissipating it)
Image
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#53 Postby El Nino » Fri Aug 25, 2006 9:34 pm

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Image


It won't develop until it reaches 35W, with SST not higher than 27°.
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#54 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:22 am

1009 mb low as of now and doesnt look as if its going to strengthen any time in the next 3 days
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#55 Postby sma10 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:41 am

Hurricaneman wrote:1009 mb low as of now and doesnt look as if its going to strengthen any time in the next 3 days


Not sure about this one....the models all seem to show this wave TRYING to spin up early next week, but they all lose it once it approaches 50W. I wonder what the models are seeing to make this system fizzle in the long run.
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#56 Postby OURAGAN » Sat Aug 26, 2006 5:36 am

The low is over the azores islands rigt now.
Take a look at the latest vis satellite:


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15
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#57 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 26, 2006 5:38 am

OURAGAN wrote:The low is over the azores islands rigt now.
Take a look at the latest vis satellite:


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15


I think that's too far north for a tropical wave to come out. Maybe try "The Cape Verde Islands"!!!
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