91L Recon Discussion Thread

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#41 Postby HardCard » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:33 pm

no doubt.. Am I the only one that is going to listen to GFDL with a little more respect this time around ? :)
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#42 Postby NONAME » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:37 pm

Recon Observation 7
Now has 1010Mb
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#43 Postby StormsAhead » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:42 pm

E wind on the south side of the convection...I wouldn't be so sure of a closed circulation yet.
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#44 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:42 pm

I don't think what we've got so far is consistent enough to call a closed circulation. But the candidate area is under the strong convection (which was a surprise to me I expected it to be be further east) so it could happen while recon is up there.
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#45 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:43 pm

that west wind could have been something local and not a true circ
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#46 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:43 pm

StormsAhead wrote:E wind on the south side of the convection...I wouldn't be so sure of a closed circulation yet.


Yeah, this seem to be continuing to move further east. Looking at those obs again there were really light and variable winds.
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#47 Postby WindRunner » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:48 pm

They appear to be heading towards the pinwheel hole you can see on sat right now.
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#48 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:56 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:that west wind could have been something local and not a true circ


Yeah, I was having the same thought.

Mostly there seems to be easterly winds all over.
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#49 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:57 pm

I've noticed that Barbados is still reporting East winds.
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#50 Postby HardCard » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:57 pm

um..... say it with me...... East SHEAR????????????????????
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#51 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:05 pm

just got home fill me in.
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#52 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:10 pm

fact789 wrote:just got home fill me in.


No closed circulation yet...
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#53 Postby Nimbus » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:11 pm

Looks like a giant croissant! Winds near zero probably indicate just a storm relative circulation. It has been moving too fast west. Chris slowed down and developed much deeper convection near this longitude.
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#54 Postby jusforsean » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:12 pm

fact789 wrote:just got home fill me in.


me too how are we looking? Whats the latest info & runs? Tks :D
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#55 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:14 pm

I don't believe it has a closed surface circulation yet. The plane is showing mostly E or ESE winds so far. I still see the low clouds ahead of the system moving from east to west. Barbados is still reporting east winds.
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#56 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:17 pm

I think RECON may need to head more to the northeast semicircle. The winds there and possible actual location of a weak LLC have not been penetrated yet.
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#57 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:35 pm

I'll guess and say the twist in clouds is just a mid-level swirl, with the convection soon to decrease (it already seems to be displaced from the earlier concentrated area of convection)...
These disturbances often flare up, look impressive for a few hours, and then dissipate - we'll see...

Frank
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#58 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:39 pm

I don't know ... nothing recon is seeing is at all impressive, but that convection has been going strong for over 9 hours now and doen't seem to be dying yet. That's different than the average flare-and-die pattern.

I certainly think it's worth it for recon to stick around for the entire scheduled flight, anyway.
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#59 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:44 pm

x-y-no wrote:I don't know ... nothing recon is seeing is at all impressive, but that convection has been going strong for over 9 hours now and doen't seem to be dying yet. That's different than the average flare-and-die pattern.

I certainly think it's worth it for recon to stick around for the entire scheduled flight, anyway.


Yes,because there wont be another mission until tommorow at this time.
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#60 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:59 pm

Conclusion at this point: open wave. Seems all the winds were from the south.
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