Whats This??? Area in NW Caribbean near Yucatan

#41 Postby **tracyswfla** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:22 am

feederband wrote:Bad feeling about this...Can any Mets support my feelings?

Like? Think we will have a new invest today?

GABE · #42 Postby **GABE** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:25 am

do they have naming systems for "blobs"? :roll:

#43 Postby **feederband** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:27 am

tracyswfla wrote:
feederband wrote:Bad feeling about this...Can any Mets support my feelings?

Like? Think we will have a new invest today?

Just don't like the Vince name... And defentaly would't like near the Gulf...

CHRISTY · #44 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:32 am

i think will more interesting then tammy!

CHRISTY · #45 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:36 am

i think we may have pilar soon!

Thunder44 · #46 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:42 am

12z Ship report in the area reporting NNW wind at 24kts with pressure of 29.54 inches or about 1000mb

KSO49 12 18.9 -86.9 340 24.1 - - - 29.54

Another 12z Ship report just to the NE of that one is reporting SE winds at about 9kts with a pressure of 29.70 inches are 1005mb.

ZCDH9 12 20.0 -86.1 140 8.9 - - - 29.70

aOl · #47 Postby **aOl** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:44 am

CHRISTY wrote:i think we may have pilar soon!

Um... this topic about the part coming back into the GoM. Pilar could form from Invest 90E, the other half of Stan.

rockyman · #48 Postby **rockyman** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:44 am

Thunder44 wrote:12z Ship report in the area reporting NNW wind at 24kts with pressure 29.54 inches

KSO49 12 18.9 -86.9 340 24.1 - - - 29.54

That would support a center off the coast in the NW Caribbean...I've looked at the visible loops and can't see one there yet...but the convection is so intense that a low level center would likely be obscured....I noticed a turning over the Yucatan...but once again can't tell if it's at the surface.

aOl · #49 Postby **aOl** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:45 am

Vince by 5PM!

#50 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:12 am

#51 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:15 am

who would have thought South Florida may get slammed from the west side just a couple of days ago :eek:

The NHC and forecasters must be going bonkers. How quickly things change.

BTW South Florida conditions right now:

SUNNY with NO clouds
little wind

WHERE IS ALL THAT RAIN AND WIND FROM 92L????

shows that models are worthless when there is no system.

seems like it always happens like that with these systems. :roll:

wxwonder12 · #52 Postby **wxwonder12** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:15 am

Where do you find the discussions about the blob in the Yucatan?

#53 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:15 am

Cancun Radar:

KatDaddy · #54 Postby **KatDaddy** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:17 am

Looks like Vince is trying to develop over the Yucatan. As crazy as it is you can see rotation at the lower level. Just NW of the Yucatan clouds move into the SW. Over the Yucatan they are moving eastward. In addition you can see clouds streaming in from the SE just to the east of the heaviest convection. This is just crazy.

#55 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:17 am

who would have thought South Florida may get slammed from the west side just a couple of days ago :eek:

The NHC and forecasters must be going bonkers. How quickly things change.

BTW South Florida conditions right now:

SUNNY with NO clouds
little wind

WHERE IS ALL THAT RAIN AND WIND FROM 92L????

shows that models are worthless when there is no system.

seems like it always happens like that with these systems :roll:

#56 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:21 am

boca_chris I edited the title to include the area of interest.

#57 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:23 am

I believe we need a floater moved....or get a 3rd floater

#58 Postby **jlauderdal** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:36 am

boca_chris wrote:who would have thought South Florida may get slammed from the west side just a couple of days ago

The NHC and forecasters must be going bonkers. How quickly things change.

BTW South Florida conditions right now:

SUNNY with NO clouds
little wind

WHERE IS ALL THAT RAIN AND WIND FROM 92L????

shows that models are worthless when there is no system.

seems like it always happens like that with these systems.

I am in Miami Lakes and the clouds have built up in the last hour and heading N, get your sun now Chris because the atmosphere is getting chraged up

ronjon · #59 Postby **ronjon** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:40 am

ronjon wrote:
So Air Force Met, do you still think a second low will develop in the GOM? The global models have been pretty consistent in trying to form something in the Gulf. I see the ULL in the NE Gulf which looks to me to be slowly drifting to the west. There is also this huge blob of convection over the Yucatan Straits that looks to be moving NE. Looks like the elements are still in place for something to develop with a baroclinic boost from the trough forecast to amplify in the central Gulf later this week.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Air Force Met wrote:
Looks to me like the second low may actually be coming from the Yucatan area. There's something going on down there with 1004-1005 mb pressures. That is the real thing to watch.

#60 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:48 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

sat loop gom

what do you think? Look at my pic then look at the loop. It does look like the mid level circulation.

Whats This??? Area in NW Caribbean near Yucatan

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