Can we say hello to Emily? 2.5/2.5

Derek Ortt · #41 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:07 pm

the storm appears to be less organized from earlier this morning, so I am not surprised that we are not seeing an upgrade. I would have upgraded earlier, but I would not now

the center does appear to be to the south, on the extreme southern edge of the convection

Anonymous · #42 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:08 pm

Less organized? J/k 8-)

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #43 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:08 pm

Its broader Cirulation looks to be quite large. But I'm pretty sure a new one has formed over the northeast side of it under the convection. So est of 2.5/2.5 is very good right now.

InimanaChoogamaga · #44 Postby **InimanaChoogamaga** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:08 pm

I found the word limey inside the word Emily. But that isn't really very interesting. I was hoping to make a really flipping sweet post but I couldn't do it. Gosh!

#45 Postby **dhweather** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:09 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the storm appears to be less organized from earlier this morning, so I am not surprised that we are not seeing an upgrade. I would have upgraded earlier, but I would not now

the center does appear to be to the south, on the extreme southern edge of the convection

Thank you for the quick reply Derek. I'm working on my satellite
"depth perception"

Thunder44 · #46 Postby **Thunder44** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:12 pm

I don't think it looks much different from this morning. Except may be more convection. I wouldn't agrue that this isn't a TS, but I think TPC will be conservative and not upgrade this at 5pm.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #47 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:15 pm

There is no shear that would be blowing the convection to the west of the center by Cimss.

Patrick99 · #48 Postby **Patrick99** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:17 pm

What's with that little circular intense "popup" thunderstorm on the extreme east edge of its deep convection...that looks weird to me. Too many pop-corny type storms, and not enough wrapping...there's something missing here. I wouldn't upgrade at 5PM.

InimanaChoogamaga · #49 Postby **InimanaChoogamaga** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:25 pm

It looks more like something is going on with "Emily' on the Dvorak IR located here: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/BD/20.jpg

So maybe they will upgrade at 5 or later like 11

#50 Postby **wx247** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:26 pm

No confirmation from NRL either mind you.

Website · #51 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:29 pm

NRL has a farther west position and still NONAME, so I'll be shocked if it's a TS at 5.

Can we say hello to Emily? 2.5/2.5

Limey is inside Emily

There's something

Who is online