2025 TCR's

[sasha_B]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072025_Gabrielle.pdf

TCR on Gabrielle is up! Peak VMax held at 120 kts; minimum central pressure down from 948 hPa to 944 hPa. The only remaining hurricane reports for the 2025 Atlantic season are Erin, Imelda, and (of course) Melissa.

[CrazyC83]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072025_Gabrielle.pdf

TCR on Gabrielle is up! Peak VMax held at 120 kts; minimum central pressure down from 948 hPa to 944 hPa. The only remaining hurricane reports for the 2025 Atlantic season are Erin, Imelda, and (of course) Melissa.

Melissa will almost certainly be the last one.

As far as the intensity and BT, I'd have actually started the track as a short-lived TC on the 16th, then introduced a break (as a "low") before delaying the re-genesis more than 24 hours after actual, either late on the 18th or early on the 19th, as it was a broad center and at times was lacking deep convection. Reason being that it didn't even have much of a structure at the time of genesis and the reformation. I'd have gone with a 125 kt peak intensity since the Recon was running quite a bit higher than Dvorak, and it likely strengthened more rapidly to the peak (pressure would have been 941 mb).

[cycloneye]

TS Jerry is up.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL102025_Jerry.pdf

[ljmac75]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072025_Gabrielle.pdf

TCR on Gabrielle is up! Peak VMax held at 120 kts; minimum central pressure down from 948 hPa to 944 hPa. The only remaining hurricane reports for the 2025 Atlantic season are Erin, Imelda, and (of course) Melissa.

They fixed it now, but for a few hours it said "Flossie" instead of Gabrielle in the top corner.

[ncforecaster89]

With the recent slight decreases in the estimated central pressures for both Humberto and Gabrielle (at their respective peaks), I’m even more confident in the expectation that the NHC will likely revise Melissa’s peak (around 1230z) to 890 mb (along with a MSW of 165 kt).