Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #1

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#361 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 17, 2006 12:53 am

Has anybody seen the monsoon trough in Africa lately. Check out the wave after wave ready to move off. Once August is here watch out in my opinion: :eek:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... rmet7n.GIF
0 likes   

User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#362 Postby hicksta » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:01 am

here comes the wave train!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4270
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

#363 Postby abajan » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:40 am

Taffy wrote:I looked at that blob next to Barbados, in at least 4 different sattelite images.. just to make sure I wasn't seeing things.. I swear it is going round and round. I am not even educated enough to be an ameature, but I think I see it.

Well, for the last few hours we have been getting winds from somehat unusual directions: http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TBPB.html

This wave may be worth watching.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cookiely
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3211
Age: 74
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 7:31 am
Location: Tampa, Florida

#364 Postby Cookiely » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:53 am

cycloneye wrote:HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 36W S
OF 19N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALONG
THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 7N. WAVE HAS A CLASSIC V-STRUCTURE ON
SATELLITE. AFRICAN DUST IS SEEN ON LAST LIGHT VIS SATELLITE N
OF THE ITCZ TO 21N BETWEEN THE WAVE AXIS AND ABOUT 50W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 32W-37W.


Above is the 8 PM discussion about this wave in particular.

Now you did it! You posted about AFRICAN DUST!!!! Now we will have fifty zillion posts about SAL!!!!!!!! :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
Weatherboy1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1189
Age: 49
Joined: Mon Jul 05, 2004 1:50 pm
Location: Jupiter/Sarasota, FL

#365 Postby Weatherboy1 » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:01 am

That wave around 43W looks pretty interesting in visible imagery this morning. While the wave farther W to the NE of the Leeward islands is likely a fish even if something develops, this one could have more of a chance to make it into the Caribbean given its low latitude. It's still pretty early for development that far out in the Atlantic, but we are getting closer and closer to July ... the water is warmer that far south ... and the shear is low until you get to, say, 13N to 15N. So definitely worth watching.

-Mike
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146203
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#366 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:02 am

Let's keep posting at this thread about the waves in the Atlantic Between Africa and the Lesser Antilles and not make individual threads about each wave. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#367 Postby skysummit » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:04 am

This wave is looking really nice this morning. It has decent convection associated with it and maybe trying to develop a broad low to mid level circulation. Wind Shear isn't that bad in the vicinity and there's an upper high developing over it. I think it may have a shot down the road if it holds together.

Image
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#368 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:11 am

The wave near 10n 43w is in that area where Ivan, Charlie and Dennis came from. If it can continue to gain latitude and get into the SE Carib. and continue with this increase in convection it could be a player.
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146203
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#369 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:12 am

Ok skysummit,now it's better. :) Yes,that wave although smaller than the other one in front,it seems to have a very weak turning in the low clouds to the south.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#370 Postby skysummit » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:15 am

I like these smaller waves with convection...I look at them as less of an area to get torn apart, and it takes less energy to begin development. :cheesy:
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#371 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat Jun 17, 2006 10:46 am

Reminds me of Charley, small but presistent.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#372 Postby boca » Sat Jun 17, 2006 10:49 am

The area east of the Leewards will get pulled northerly. The system that skysummit pointed out looks to be a player in the Caribbean in the next few days.
0 likes   

User avatar
The Hurricaner
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Tue Jun 13, 2006 3:59 pm
Location: Miami, FL

#373 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 17, 2006 12:34 pm

The local meterologist on channel 7 here in miami said that the wave near cuba should bring us "rain" here on tuesday.
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#374 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:15 pm

The wave isn't really so close to Cuba right now.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#375 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:17 pm

I think the system at 18 north/55/58 west moving northwestward has a fair chance at developing.
0 likes   

User avatar
The Hurricaner
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Tue Jun 13, 2006 3:59 pm
Location: Miami, FL

#376 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:22 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:The wave isn't really so close to Cuba right now.


You know what i mean. The antilles?
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#377 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:24 pm

Well now I do. Thanks. :)
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#378 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:26 pm

Is any other model showing development with this system?
0 likes   

User avatar
WxGuy1
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 538
Joined: Sat Oct 22, 2005 12:55 pm
Location: Oklahoma

#379 Postby WxGuy1 » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:32 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Is any other model showing development with this system?


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
0 likes   

User avatar
The Hurricaner
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Tue Jun 13, 2006 3:59 pm
Location: Miami, FL

#380 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:36 pm

I cant tell that any do looking at that. Or is it me?

By the way it does look like its moving north.
Last edited by The Hurricaner on Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib, Google Adsense [Bot], Hurricane2022 and 54 guests