93L Invest

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N2FSU
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#361 Postby N2FSU » Thu Oct 06, 2005 7:57 am

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#362 Postby wxwonder12 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 7:59 am

Thanks N2FSU
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CHRISTY

#363 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:08 am

not a drop of rain here in miami!
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#364 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:09 am

Takeoff was supposed to occur at 8:30 AM EDT but it has not happend so the flight was canceled and for me is no surprise that they will not go today..
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#365 Postby no advance » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:09 am

Looks alittle more organized. It was shambles earlier.
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CHRISTY

#366 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:24 am

were is the LLC now if there is one!
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#367 Postby rockyman » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:26 am

CHRISTY wrote:were is the LLC now if there is one!


If there is a center, it's over the western tip of Cuba
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#368 Postby SkeetoBite » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:33 am

SST Test maps: (not automated yet)

Image
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#369 Postby boca » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:38 am

Their is a little spin just off the western tip of Cuba moving due east.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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chadtm80

#370 Postby chadtm80 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:45 am

Nice map Skeeto.. Thanks!
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#371 Postby Steve H. » Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:58 am

This area still has a fairly good chance of development. The LCC near western Cuba is moving ENE, but should turn more toward the NE later today. Deep convection is building south of the LCC so I wouldn't write this off yet. The thing that may hinder development, or as a wildcard, help develop a low that is developing near the Bahamas again. Check latest visibles and you'll see some convection developing out there east of the Bahamas. This showed up on the NAM yesterday. This should move north with the leftover convection from Tammy, but should it develop on its own, would rob energy from 93L. Its possible that 93L could get entrained into this Bahamian low and head north toward the mid Atlantic. But 93l may come to life....stay tuned. 8-)
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#372 Postby caneman » Thu Oct 06, 2005 9:46 am

Nice blow up. South of Cuba. Still think we need to watch.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html
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#373 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:01 am

TWO 11:30 AM:

A small area of low pressure is located near the western tip of
Cuba. Shower activity with this system is poorly organized...and
upper-level winds in the eastern Gulf of Mexico are expected to
become less favorable for tropical cyclone development over the
next day or so. Nevertheless...this system will likely spread
heavy rains and gusty winds over portions of Cuba...the Florida
Keys...and the Florida Peninsula over the next day or two as it
moves north-northeastward.
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#374 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:06 am

HURAKAN wrote:TWO 11:30 AM:

A small area of low pressure is located near the western tip of
Cuba. Shower activity with this system is poorly organized...and
upper-level winds in the eastern Gulf of Mexico are expected to
become less favorable for tropical cyclone development over the
next day or so. Nevertheless...this system will likely spread
heavy rains and gusty winds over portions of Cuba...the Florida
Keys...and the Florida Peninsula over the next day or two as it
moves north-northeastward.


Winds becoming less favorable. Bye Bye 93L...you gave us a scare yesterday, but oh well.
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#375 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:07 am

skysummit wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:TWO 11:30 AM:

A small area of low pressure is located near the western tip of
Cuba. Shower activity with this system is poorly organized...and
upper-level winds in the eastern Gulf of Mexico are expected to
become less favorable for tropical cyclone development over the
next day or so. Nevertheless...this system will likely spread
heavy rains and gusty winds over portions of Cuba...the Florida
Keys...and the Florida Peninsula over the next day or two as it
moves north-northeastward.


Winds becoming less favorable. Bye Bye 93L...you gave us a scare yesterday, but oh well.


Yes never thought this was a Go...To much Complexity with Tammy in the Pic...
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NastyCat4

#376 Postby NastyCat4 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:07 am

93 will get battered by the mountains of Cuba. Hasta la Vista, Baby....
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#377 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:08 am

Are the ULL Winds expected to become less favorable because of the coming cold front, or it's because of another factor?

By the way, I think we should watch the end tail of the cold front when it arrives in the GOM.
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#378 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:09 am

NastyCat4 wrote:93 will get battered by the mountains of Cuba. Hasta la Vista, Baby....


No Mountians there....Flat as NOLA
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#379 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:11 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
NastyCat4 wrote:93 will get battered by the mountains of Cuba. Hasta la Vista, Baby....


No Mountians there....Flat as NOLA


Pinar del Rio is very mountanous.

Image
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#380 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 10:17 am

HURAKAN wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
NastyCat4 wrote:93 will get battered by the mountains of Cuba. Hasta la Vista, Baby....


No Mountians there....Flat as NOLA


Pinar del Rio is very mountanous.

Image


Well Im aimed at where 93L is right now
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