93L Invest

[Scorpion]

Rain and wind is nice. Just rain plain sucks.

[dixiebreeze]

The ULL in the northern GOM will continue to draw whatever 93L becomes north up the west coast of florida.

Exactly. This system isn't over yet.

[kevin]

Rain and wind is nice. Just rain plain sucks.

Arrr you are a picky one aren't you.

[arkess7]

The dry air to the west of this one is one of the main reasons why this hasnt developed. Another washout for the lower half of Florida no doubt. I do not think this will become a depression. It will likely strengthen eventually but will by a hybrid system or even a nor'easter IMO.

Tommorow is another day, but I dont expect any suprises from this one, it appears to be loosing all cyclonic organization now and is nothing more than a trough/wave of tropical moisture.

yea its losing it power.....but when the sun comes up???

it could be a whole differnt story 2morrow.........

doesnt the sun produce heat and humidity to boost the storms power again?

[Brent]

i think 93L is dead!

Christy what you have been doing the last couple days has been Trolling.. I am at my wits end with it. I suggest you tone it down before you get sent on a vacation

THANK YOU.

[SouthFloridawx]

i think 93L is dead!

Christy what you have been doing the last couple days has been Trolling.. I am at my wits end with it. I suggest you tone it down before you get sent on a vacation

THANK YOU.

What is trolling?!?!?!

[Brent]

What is trolling?!?!?!

A person who posts things on an internet forum just to get a reaction out of people.

[SouthFloridawx]

i see thank you... that would make that person kind of bored right?

[krysof]

What is trolling?!?!?!

A person who posts things on an internet forum just to get a reaction out of people.

So an example would be: Tammy will be the last storm, and Vince will never happen because it's October and there is strong shear everywhere!

[seaswing]

What is trolling?!?!?!

A person who posts things on an internet forum just to get a reaction out of people.

So an example would be: Tammy will be the last storm, and Vince will never happen because it's October and there is strong shear everywhere!

exactly. Like an adult with ADHD.

[fci]

What is trolling?!?!?!

A person who posts things on an internet forum just to get a reaction out of people.

So an example would be: Tammy will be the last storm, and Vince will never happen because it's October and there is strong shear everywhere!

Spoken (actually "typed") like a real troller!!

[Brent]

What is trolling?!?!?!

A person who posts things on an internet forum just to get a reaction out of people.

So an example would be: Tammy will be the last storm, and Vince will never happen because it's October and there is strong shear everywhere!

*Ding!*

[artist]

is this 93l or another take off of it???

FXUS62 KMFL 060815
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
415 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SEEN ON WATER VAPOR
TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST.
THIS GOES ALONG NICELY WITH WHAT THE GFS IS SHOWING WITH A NEARLY
VERTICALLY STACKED SYSTEM. THIS MEANS CONTINUED MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW
WITH PWAT'S NEAR 2.5" THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN A STEADY DECREASE
FRIDAY NIGHT ON. EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY IN
LINE WITH CURRENT FLOOD WATCH. GFS INDICATES THAT THIS LOW WITH
DEEPEN TO 1001 MB BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANGANDLE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN EJECTS NORTHEAST TO THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS BY SATURDAY AND LINKS UP WITH A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL START MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE ON SATURDAY AND REACH
SOUTH FLORIDA BY LATER SUNDAY. WE WILL FINALLY SEE A DRYING TREND
AND LOWER DEW POINTS BEHIND THE FRONT.

[audioslave8]

is this 93l or another take off of it???

FXUS62 KMFL 060815
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
415 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SEEN ON WATER VAPOR
TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST.
THIS GOES ALONG NICELY WITH WHAT THE GFS IS SHOWING WITH A NEARLY
VERTICALLY STACKED SYSTEM. THIS MEANS CONTINUED MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW
WITH PWAT'S NEAR 2.5" THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN A STEADY DECREASE
FRIDAY NIGHT ON. EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY IN
LINE WITH CURRENT FLOOD WATCH. GFS INDICATES THAT THIS LOW WITH
DEEPEN TO 1001 MB BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANGANDLE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN EJECTS NORTHEAST TO THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS BY SATURDAY AND LINKS UP WITH A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL START MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE ON SATURDAY AND REACH
SOUTH FLORIDA BY LATER SUNDAY. WE WILL FINALLY SEE A DRYING TREND
AND LOWER DEW POINTS BEHIND THE FRONT.

Yepp!!! It looks very disorganized. It probably wont get as strong as Tammy if it even develops into a depression. Most of the heaviest rain and t-storms are to the east of the center. The coastal Carolinas should be spared the heaviest moisture since the convection is so far east of the center and will be moving to the northeast or east northeast.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

There appears this morning to be a low becoming better defined near the tip of cuba. It is moving to the northeast. Lets see what recon finds later today.

Cenral Atlatnic system looks well on its way to become our next tropical storm. Nice outflow/curving. In alot of convection. If the enviroment can just stay faverable Vince is a shoe in.


Another low/Ull to the northwest of central Atlatnic system...Looks interesting in could spin to the surface over time.

[johngaltfla]

Thank goodness. Let it die. I don't mind a TD or weak TS. But I am worried that the CV will make one more shot at the season before that part ends.

[jdray]

Thank goodness. Let it die. I don't mind a TD or weak TS. But I am worried that the CV will make one more shot at the season before that part ends.

You would not have wanted Tammy either. Way too much rain from her. Lots of localized flooding.

[wxwonder12]

Are there still model runs on 93L?? On the only model I know how to use they still are going around Tampa. Is that old info??

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL932005) ON 20051006 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051006 1200 051007 0000 051007 1200 051008 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.2N 85.2W 24.3N 84.2W 26.8N 83.5W 29.6N 82.5W
BAMM 22.2N 85.2W 24.1N 83.9W 26.5N 83.0W 29.3N 81.6W
A98E 22.2N 85.2W 23.4N 84.0W 25.5N 82.4W 27.7N 81.1W
LBAR 22.2N 85.2W 23.7N 84.5W 25.8N 84.0W 28.6N 83.6W
SHIP 20KTS 25KTS 31KTS 39KTS
DSHP 20KTS 25KTS 31KTS 28KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051008 1200 051009 1200 051010 1200 051011 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 32.8N 80.5W 39.3N 76.1W 44.7N 72.3W 48.4N 63.4W
BAMM 32.0N 79.6W 37.0N 76.0W 41.3N 73.8W 45.1N 70.6W
A98E 30.5N 79.5W 34.5N 78.3W 40.2N 74.8W 45.1N 66.1W
LBAR 31.0N 82.9W 35.3N 79.7W 39.4N 75.4W 44.3N 68.4W
SHIP 47KTS 55KTS 51KTS 38KTS
DSHP 38KTS 30KTS 30KTS 30KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 22.2N LONCUR = 85.2W DIRCUR = 45DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 21.3N LONM12 = 86.4W DIRM12 = 31DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 20.0N LONM24 = 87.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


For those who always are interested in these models.

[wxwonder12]

Know idea what that means but thanks anyway.