98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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HURAKAN
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#301 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:07 am

Image

It may not have a center or anything, but it looks interesting. Lets wait for the TWO @ 11:30 AM EDT.
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#302 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:09 am

HURAKAN wrote:
Stormavoider wrote:My wild guess is 24.5N 94.5W moving NE. I'm not basing this on much other than the visible sat.


It looks more like a northward movement.


I agree, it is currently a northward movement, but I expect a more NNE movement once is past the 26th Lat.
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#303 Postby Stormavoider » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:10 am

HURAKAN wrote:
Stormavoider wrote:My wild guess is 24.5N 94.5W moving NE. I'm not basing this on much other than the visible sat.


It looks more like a northward movement.


If it's centered any were near were I said, We should see a dramatic change from this buoy real soon.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42002
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#304 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:10 am

I'm guessing their not going to send recon out..? they didn't mention recon on the 5:30 two..
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#305 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:13 am

Josephine96 wrote:I'm guessing their not going to send recon out..? they didn't mention recon on the 5:30 two..


Officially,we will know very soon if they are going or not,when they will release todays plan of the day.
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#306 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:19 am

With the front surging SE from the west I expect this will veer N to NE before very long:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/wv-l.jpg
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#307 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:21 am

NOUS42 KNHC 241400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT MON 24 JUL 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z JUL 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-055

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
4. REMARKS: TODAY'S LOW LEVEL INVEST FOR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
CANCELLED 24/1200Z.

No surprise.
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#308 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:22 am

Yeah I don't give it much chance. I think it'll die soon (as far as being a TC goes).
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#309 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:23 am

There is no front left...It pulled up stationary and disapated yesterday..
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#310 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:23 am

Odd. It looks better this morning than ever before.
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#311 Postby Stormavoider » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:24 am

Someone probably already posted this. A floater is on it.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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#312 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:25 am

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Yeah I don't give it much chance. I think it'll die soon (as far as being a TC goes).



What is going to "kill" it?
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#313 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:27 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Yeah I don't give it much chance. I think it'll die soon (as far as being a TC goes).



What is going to "kill" it?


Good question.
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#314 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:27 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Yeah I don't give it much chance. I think it'll die soon (as far as being a TC goes).



What is going to "kill" it?


As far as a closed low...

Shear and the proximity to land..
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#315 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:33 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Odd. It looks better this morning than ever before.


I agree completely, but the problem is that there isn't a discernable low pressure center, therefore, sending the RECON will be just a waste of time.
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#316 Postby Steve » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:34 am

>>Shear and the proximity to land..

Shear is enhancing the thunderstorms right now.

Steve
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#317 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:35 am

Looks like they want to use recon for the wave in the Atlantic...maybe...

check out the new thread on this
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#318 Postby T-man » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:38 am

Kinda looks like the outflow from Emilia is helping to pump up the convection. As the pacific storm moves farther out to sea, and shear relaxes, and if this blob can hold onto convection overnight, a chance for it to spin up? Just askin'
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#319 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:39 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

It may not have a center or anything, but it looks interesting. Lets wait for the TWO @ 11:30 AM EDT.


I can point out the center
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#320 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 24, 2006 9:45 am

Emilia has very little if anything to do with enhancing the convection in the BOC.
IMO


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html
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