The most active convection wise this year...
2019 WPAC Season
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
I have the day off, so I've been playing with data all day.
https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1150135434347012098
https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1150135434347012098
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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dexterlabio
- Category 5
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
1900hurricane wrote:I have the day off, so I've been playing with data all day.
https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1150135434347012098
Interesting, and I like how you have figured out to make a linear interpolation to somehow get an idea about the total ACE at the end of the year lol. I wish I can also have actual fun with "playing with data"
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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JoshwaDone
- Tropical Low
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
euro6208 wrote:Next 5 names:
Danas
Nari
Wipha
Francisco
Lekima
Last time I heard those names was in 2013. Haiyan got replaced by Bailu tho (if I'm correct).
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1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
dexterlabio wrote:1900hurricane wrote:I have the day off, so I've been playing with data all day.
https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1150135434347012098
Interesting, and I like how you have figured out to make a linear interpolation to somehow get an idea about the total ACE at the end of the year lol. I wish I can also have actual fun with "playing with data"
Thankfully I've gotten good enough at coding (using Python in particular) to where I can manipulate data pretty fast. It's much nicer than the old fashion way, that's for sure!
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Well that's something. Looks like GFS dropped the Marianas system for a few runs now. EURO also doesn't develop anything.
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mrbagyo
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Near the dateline
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Last edited by euro6208 on Tue Jul 16, 2019 1:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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JoshwaDone
- Tropical Low
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- Location: Camarines Sur, Philippines
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS has some systems developing long range.
Last edited by euro6208 on Thu Jul 18, 2019 8:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
I'm leaning more toward the Euro, showing some kind of activity in the 'long range' <= 240 tau.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS completely drops the systems long range while EURO still shows it but very very weak...
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS legacy showing something at 200+ hour
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
JoshwaDone wrote:it's been 138 days since the last time we had a typhoon.. am i right?
Correct.
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JoshwaDone
- Tropical Low
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- Location: Camarines Sur, Philippines
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
euro6208 wrote:JoshwaDone wrote:it's been 138 days since the last time we had a typhoon.. am i right?
Correct.
And counting.. let's see if August will give us a typhoon since the typhoon season peaks between August and September.
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CyclonicFury
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
The WPAC has a great chance to end all of July without a typhoon. The last time July went without a typhoon was 1998.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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