95L Invest Thread

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storms in NC
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#281 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:49 am

wxmann_91 wrote:
storms in NC wrote:MY rule of thumb is if it goes above 20 we are safe some what


Not exactly.

Isabel was above 20 N when it was only 50 W.

Andrew reached 20 N at 60 W.

So there are exceptions.


I know that is why I said some what.
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#282 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:50 am

all about the ridge baby! 8-)
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Scorpion

#283 Postby Scorpion » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:50 am

DT now saying that this is likely a US threat.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#284 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:51 am

At this moment last year
Image

At this moment

Image


There is 100 times more Tchp in the Atlatnic.
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Jim Cantore

#285 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:52 am

what exactly is the SAL?
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#286 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:54 am

A enemy to tropical cyclone lovers all around.
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#287 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:54 am

Scorpion wrote:DT now saying that this is likely a US threat.


wasnt he saying it was going to be a fish? why the change?
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#288 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:56 am

ivanhater wrote:
Scorpion wrote:DT now saying that this is likely a US threat.


wasnt he saying it was going to be a fish? why the change?

Actually, his latest discussion has been the first I've seen about this system. There are also some other pro mets agreeing with him.
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#289 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:56 am

Scorpion wrote:DT now saying that this is likely a US threat.


Please dont post one sentence statements without posting a link to corroborate that.
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SAL

#290 Postby WXFIEND » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:57 am

I believe its the Saharan Air Layer. The sand in the air from the Saharan. It kills storms.
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#291 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:57 am

cycloneye wrote:
Scorpion wrote:DT now saying that this is likely a US threat.


Please dont post one sentence statements without posting a link to corroborate that.


Damn Straight
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Jim Cantore

#292 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:58 am

dry air basicly

kills cyclones and is a best friend to Floridians
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#293 Postby jdray » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:59 am

storms in NC wrote:MY rule of thumb is if it goes above 20 we are safe some what


All depends on where it goes north of 20.


Dora in 1964 went North of 20N @ 60W, yet turned west again after reaching 27N @ 65W. Everyone back then thought it would be a fish. Yet it hit NE Florida as a weakening Cat3.


Isabell in 2003 hit 20N @ 48W, yet still managed to hit NC as a Cat 2.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#294 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:59 am

I say let it rain over the desert!!! :lol:
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#295 Postby BamaMan » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:00 pm

Floridians, the east Coast and the GOMer's too
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#296 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:01 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I say let it rain over the desert!!! :lol:


matt where do you live?
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#297 Postby skysummit » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:03 pm

I wish I was a fly somewhere on the NHC's Headquarter's wall. I would love to hear what they're saying to each other about this system.
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Derek Ortt

#298 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:05 pm

if we dont see more convection, this wont even be classified as a TD
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Derek Ortt

#299 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:05 pm

well, this appears to be an obvious US East Coast threat. The UL to the north near 40W is not a player and Harvey is too small to weaken the ridge
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#300 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:08 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:well, this appears to be an obvious US East Coast threat. The UL to the north near 40W is not a player and Harvey is too small to weaken the ridge


especially if it stays underdeveloped as you say right now
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