INVEST 93L Comments Thread #1

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skysummit
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#261 Postby skysummit » Mon Jun 26, 2006 8:43 pm

wxmann57....do you see any other troughs back to the west that may be a player by the weekend?
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#262 Postby Noles2006 » Mon Jun 26, 2006 8:45 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:On windsat its showing alot of 60kt winds but no closed LLC!


You don't honestly believe there are 60 KT winds in this system, do you? Those are rain contaminated readings...
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#263 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 26, 2006 8:52 pm

skysummit wrote:wxmann57....do you see any other troughs back to the west that may be a player by the weekend?


Well, the GFS indicates a ridge building over the Bahamas on Saturday and building westward across the Gulf on Sunday/Monday. No other trof digging down. The ECMWF may be a little stronger with the ridge over the Bahamas and Gulf by the weekend. Both would indicate westerly movement by anything in the Caribbean.
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#264 Postby Anthonyl » Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:01 pm

I've been looking at the system as it has been evolving over the day and there seem to be a more concentrated area of shower trying to consoliate itself around the presumed LLC.
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#265 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:02 pm

Those tracks are going to depend on how far north it gets before the ridge builds in and how deep a system we are dealing with.
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#266 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:05 pm

Here's a recent sat pic with lat/lon lines and the area in question circled. Convection remains quite weak and disorganized. I really don't think it has much of a chance to get organized until it slows down, and that may not be for 5-6 days.

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/93Ld.gif
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#267 Postby NONAME » Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:48 pm

It isn't moving that fast the NHC only says it is moving 15-20mph. That is not bad. What would be bad is 25-30mph.

Edited 1 time
Last edited by NONAME on Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#268 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:54 pm

NONAME wrote:It isn't moving that fast the NHC only says it is moving 15-20mph that not bad what would be bad is 25-30mph.


I think I would have an easier time discerning what you're saying if you used punctuation marks between your sentences.
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#269 Postby mvtrucking » Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:10 pm

Great maps wxman57. Thanks for taking the time to put them together, and post them.
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#270 Postby NONAME » Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:12 pm

I am sorry about that wxman57. I fixed it for you. Thanks for your insight.
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#271 Postby mvtrucking » Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:24 pm

Quikscat


http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... _at_1.html
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#272 Postby skysummit » Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:32 pm



A lot of difference 12 1/2 hours make. Too bad we can't see the east side.
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#273 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Jun 26, 2006 11:56 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rb.html

Check this out...a major flare up over the northern band in the last hout and also it looks like the yellows are wrapping around the center...I wouldnt be surprised to see a major flare up over the center by daybreak
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#274 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Jun 27, 2006 12:13 am

actually, it looks like the major flare-up i was talking about in my above post looks, at least IMO, a relocation of the circ.

look at this IR image from accuweather
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurric ... LL&large=1
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#275 Postby no advance » Tue Jun 27, 2006 5:17 am

Persistant little sucker. Surprised alittle that the invest seems to have moved NW. Another beautiful day.
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#276 Postby HUC » Tue Jun 27, 2006 5:52 am

The first visibles,clearly show the swirl near 10,3N,and 47,5 O.To day will be crucial for this system....
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#277 Postby tailgater » Tue Jun 27, 2006 6:03 am

HUC wrote:The first visibles,clearly show the swirl near 10,3N,and 47,5 O.To day will be crucial for this system....

Wow I didn't think it would be that tight yet. :eek:
Looks to be moving WNW or NW.
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#278 Postby tailgater » Tue Jun 27, 2006 6:11 am

HUC are you sure about that loc., I see it at 10.3 N and 51W.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/287.jpg
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#279 Postby no advance » Tue Jun 27, 2006 6:15 am

The TW is now appearing in the picture. No doubt a big wave. http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html I bet the windwards even the leewards are going to get a good soaking. I dont see any spinning or whatever but the size is what impresses me.
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#280 Postby HUC » Tue Jun 27, 2006 6:21 am

Tailgater,you are right,it's 51O;don't got my besicles!!! :oops:
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