Invest 93L Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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brunota2003
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Forecaster Colby
Now, back on topic: 
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... N-832W.jpg
Thats some very good structure.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... N-832W.jpg
Thats some very good structure.
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brunota2003
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Ok, its back, now get the name Gamma then proceed to the next set of doors on the right where they are going to put you to sleep, thank you, and Happy Holidays!!!
EDIT: Wrong Thread, oops...its been a long season, lol...
EDIT: Wrong Thread, oops...its been a long season, lol...
Last edited by brunota2003 on Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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WindRunner
- Category 5
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A second 00Z model run with the storm much further south and a little more east. Nothing really interesting, just a little FYI.
362
WHXX01 KWBC 180157
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL932005) ON 20051118 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051118 0000 051118 1200 051119 0000 051119 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.7N 83.7W 14.7N 85.2W 15.8N 86.4W 17.1N 87.1W
BAMM 13.7N 83.7W 14.6N 85.0W 15.5N 86.1W 16.4N 86.8W
A98E 13.7N 83.7W 14.6N 84.6W 15.3N 85.6W 16.2N 86.3W
LBAR 13.7N 83.7W 14.6N 85.1W 16.0N 86.2W 17.9N 87.0W
SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 32KTS 34KTS
DSHP 25KTS 26KTS 26KTS 31KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051120 0000 051121 0000 051122 0000 051123 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.8N 87.0W 24.5N 82.4W 32.0N 70.7W 39.1N 58.4W
BAMM 17.3N 87.3W 20.0N 86.5W 25.0N 77.9W 32.5N 65.1W
A98E 17.8N 86.2W 21.1N 84.6W 25.6N 78.0W 34.7N 64.0W
LBAR 19.9N 87.0W 26.6N 82.9W 33.1N 68.0W 27.3N 55.1W
SHIP 33KTS 25KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 30KTS 21KTS 0KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.7N LONCUR = 83.7W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 12.6N LONM12 = 83.0W DIRM12 = 311DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 12.1N LONM24 = 82.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....
362
WHXX01 KWBC 180157
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL932005) ON 20051118 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051118 0000 051118 1200 051119 0000 051119 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.7N 83.7W 14.7N 85.2W 15.8N 86.4W 17.1N 87.1W
BAMM 13.7N 83.7W 14.6N 85.0W 15.5N 86.1W 16.4N 86.8W
A98E 13.7N 83.7W 14.6N 84.6W 15.3N 85.6W 16.2N 86.3W
LBAR 13.7N 83.7W 14.6N 85.1W 16.0N 86.2W 17.9N 87.0W
SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 32KTS 34KTS
DSHP 25KTS 26KTS 26KTS 31KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051120 0000 051121 0000 051122 0000 051123 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.8N 87.0W 24.5N 82.4W 32.0N 70.7W 39.1N 58.4W
BAMM 17.3N 87.3W 20.0N 86.5W 25.0N 77.9W 32.5N 65.1W
A98E 17.8N 86.2W 21.1N 84.6W 25.6N 78.0W 34.7N 64.0W
LBAR 19.9N 87.0W 26.6N 82.9W 33.1N 68.0W 27.3N 55.1W
SHIP 33KTS 25KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 30KTS 21KTS 0KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.7N LONCUR = 83.7W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 12.6N LONM12 = 83.0W DIRM12 = 311DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 12.1N LONM24 = 82.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....
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Forecaster Colby
There is one difference...the SHIPS and GFDL don't dissipate it anymore 
and
at this outflow! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html ! That looks like a Major Hurricane's.
and
at this outflow! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html ! That looks like a Major Hurricane's.
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MiamiensisWx
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Forecaster Colby
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MiamiensisWx
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MiamiensisWx
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146228
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN.
THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE... BUT IT STILL DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE
CIRCULATION. A NEARBY BUT SEPARATE WEATHER SYSTEM... AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND MOVING TOWARD
HONDURAS... IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR
ITS CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER... THIS SYSTEM IS INLAND AND
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNLESS IT MOVES BACK OVER
WATER. FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO... EITHER THROUGH REGENERATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-SEVEN... OR DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY
OVER NICARAGUA. ANOTHER AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS AREA TOMORROW... IF
NECESSARY.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER. EVEN IF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...
HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN
PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS AND COULD SPREAD INTO BELIZE...
NORTHERN GUATEMALA... AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
FORECASTER KNABB
10:30 PM TWO
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN.
THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE... BUT IT STILL DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE
CIRCULATION. A NEARBY BUT SEPARATE WEATHER SYSTEM... AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND MOVING TOWARD
HONDURAS... IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR
ITS CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER... THIS SYSTEM IS INLAND AND
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNLESS IT MOVES BACK OVER
WATER. FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO... EITHER THROUGH REGENERATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-SEVEN... OR DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY
OVER NICARAGUA. ANOTHER AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS AREA TOMORROW... IF
NECESSARY.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER. EVEN IF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...
HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN
PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS AND COULD SPREAD INTO BELIZE...
NORTHERN GUATEMALA... AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
FORECASTER KNABB
10:30 PM TWO
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CHRISTY
