Invest 91L,E Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #3

[CronkPSU]

LOL can anyone else picture the guys at the NHC putting this flip/flop stuff out and then jumping onto this board to see everyone freaking out again as they laugh at us

[drezee]

If a LLC has indeed formed we will likely know from the obs at Barbados before recon even gets there. expect N to NW winds there.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TBPB.html

If they decide to update, 2 hrs. old now.

Try this:

http://www.wunderground.com/history/air ... atename=NA

[drezee]

METAR TBPB 091500Z 08014KT 9999 FEW014CB SCT016 28/25 Q1013 RETS RMK CB ENE,SE,W JP ESE-S

[Kennethb]

Looks to be moving pretty fast for quick development. Too getting ready to pass through the death gates of the Carribean.

['CaneFreak]

so wind is blowing slightly north of due east....hmmm....

[shaggy]

models seem to want to threaten PR pretty hard with this storm so lets hope it doesnt develop and stays weak however if it does take that track we hope its not much more than a weak TS and then goes fishing and doesnt threaten anywhere else.

[MortisFL]

models seem to want to threaten PR pretty hard with this storm so lets hope it doesnt develop and stays weak however if it does take that track we hope its not much more than a weak TS and then goes fishing and doesnt threaten anywhere else.

what models? the medium and deep bams?

[hcane27]

betcha it is either

a. tiny midget cyclone
b. very impressive thunderstorm complex

most likely b.

[ConvergenceZone]

the way this convection is holding together, it makes me wonder what they will find. It's holding alot better and longer than it did yesterday and isn't showing any signs yet of decreasing.

[Extremeweatherguy]

wow! I log onto S2K for the first time today and find this! I thought 91L was a goner when I went to bed! The convection looks better than ever before right now.

[ConvergenceZone]

models seem to want to threaten PR pretty hard with this storm so lets hope it doesnt develop and stays weak however if it does take that track we hope its not much more than a weak TS and then goes fishing and doesnt threaten anywhere else.

Hell, if it's going to go fishing, I hope it develops into a CAT5! (I know this tropical system won't go CAT5 , but I say that about any fish storm). If it's not going to threaten land/islands, then go CAT5 baby!

[gatorcane]

wow! I log onto S2K for the first time today and find this! I thought 91L was a goner when I went to bed! The convection looks better than ever before right now.

Here we go again folks

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I think people are talking about some of the models ploted on Jeff Master's latest blog entry:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200608

[Extremeweatherguy]

models seem to want to threaten PR pretty hard with this storm so lets hope it doesnt develop and stays weak however if it does take that track we hope its not much more than a weak TS and then goes fishing and doesnt threaten anywhere else.

Hell, if it's going to go fishing, I hope it develops into a CAT5! (I know this tropical system won't go CAT5 , but I say that about any fish storm). If it's not going to threaten land/islands, then go CAT5 baby!

This is not going fishing. The storm is already just east of the Lesser Antilles and is moving west. This will be in the Caribbean later tonight/tomorrow.

[bvigal]

41101 buoy 14.6 N 56.2 W
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41101

French radar

[skysummit]

models seem to want to threaten PR pretty hard with this storm so lets hope it doesnt develop and stays weak however if it does take that track we hope its not much more than a weak TS and then goes fishing and doesnt threaten anywhere else.

Hell, if it's going to go fishing, I hope it develops into a CAT5! (I know this tropical system won't go CAT5 , but I say that about any fish storm). If it's not going to threaten land/islands, then go CAT5 baby!

This is not going fishing. The storm is already just east of the Lesser Antilles and is moving west. This will be in the Caribbean later tonight/tomorrow.

Yes, and if the high pressure remains in place for the next week or so, it should just go into Central America or Mexico. We all know they don't need a storm either.

[gatorcane]

models seem to want to threaten PR pretty hard with this storm so lets hope it doesnt develop and stays weak however if it does take that track we hope its not much more than a weak TS and then goes fishing and doesnt threaten anywhere else.

Hell, if it's going to go fishing, I hope it develops into a CAT5! (I know this tropical system won't go CAT5 , but I say that about any fish storm). If it's not going to threaten land/islands, then go CAT5 baby!

This is not going fishing. The storm is already just east of the Lesser Antilles and is moving west. This will be in the Caribbean later tonight/tomorrow.

keep in mind this is exactly the time that Charley got going back in 2004....

[skysummit]

12z plots:

[gatorcane]

gosh another South Florida threat....

[MGC]

I've looked and looked for a west wind on satellite but am having difficulty due to the CB blowoff. I doubt 91L has reformed a circulation. The burst of convection this morning is impressive though. 91L might be the comeback kid of the year. Currently I am betting against a TD developing.......MGC