Active Early Season, BOC/GOM tropical disturbances

[Extremeweatherguy]

This could be a sign that the western Gulf will be active later on. All this activity shows me that system will be able to hold their own or even strengthen once they get past 90W.

Quite the contrary, in the past couple of seasons we have seen weak, teaser storms around the western GOM and Carolinas, then FL has gotten pounded by the powerful storms later in the season and in one case NOLA got pounded.

The way I see, if the western GOM is seeing activity early in the season nature has done her job to remove "excess heat" in that area already....certainly this season I think there is plenty of excess heat left in the western GOM and off the Carolinas.

I have to disagree. Last year the central and eastern Gulf was pounded by Arlene, Cindy and Dennis early in the season and was still able to pull off Katrina later on.

The high level in activity in the western Gulf shows that the atmosphere in that area has the ability to quickly blow things up (and it also shows there is a tropical flow into that area). Even though nothing has been named over there yet, there have certainly been many strong storms. The same should be said for the East coast this year. There have been many early disturbances (including Beryl) in that area and it will probably lead to an active season for them.

Don't forget about Rita, she made landfall in the northwestern gulf and was the worst storm to affect the areas she did in many many decades.

Oh yes, I know. I consider her a western Gulf landfall though. I was only referencing eastern and central Gulf landfalls in my response to gatorcane.