Phil Klotzbach/ William Gray April Forecast=17/9/5

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windycity
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#21 Postby windycity » Mon Apr 03, 2006 5:22 pm

You think he will go down, Matt? I think it will remain the same. If it goes up,then he knows something we dont !!!! :roll:
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CHRISTY

#22 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 03, 2006 5:25 pm

windycity wrote:You think he will go down, Matt? I think it will remain the same. If it goes up,then he knows something we dont !!!! :roll:
iam thinking he's gonna up on his numbers!i thinlk 06 will turn out more active than anyone is expecting
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#23 Postby wxman57 » Mon Apr 03, 2006 5:37 pm

Take a look at the latest SST comparison to this time last year. SSTs are considerably cooler, indicating a stronger Bermuda high (greater shear) likely for 2006 as well as less major hurricanes. Almost certainly, Dr. Gray will be reducing his projected number (or he should, anyway).

Image
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#24 Postby windycity » Mon Apr 03, 2006 5:46 pm

hum, interesting analogy. Wouldnt a LaNina reduce shear? And what about 04, strong high ,fair ammount of shear ? Youre the expert wxman 57, and iv learned alot from your posts. Thanks! :bday:
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#25 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 03, 2006 5:48 pm

Image

The La Nina is nearly gone, except for some cooler spots erupting off western Mexico, Costa Rica, surrounding areas, and South America.
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#26 Postby StormScanWx » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:06 pm

Along with the new 2011 hurricane names, this will be something to look forward to tommorow. :)

Where is the link where the report will be posted?
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#27 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:14 pm

here u go

http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/
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#28 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:15 pm

StormScanWx wrote:Along with the new 2011 hurricane names, this will be something to look forward to tommorow. :)

Where is the link where the report will be posted?


Tomorrow will be a big day not only because of the two things you mentioned but also the TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) april 2006 outlook will be released.
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#29 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:22 pm

thanks cyclone for that info!yea tommorow will be an interesting day...CAN SOMEONE POST A LINK FROM TSR!
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#30 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:25 pm

CHRISTY wrote:thanks cyclone for that info!yea tommorow will be an interesting day...CAN SOMEONE POST A LINK FROM TSR!


You ask,we answer.

http://tsr.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/
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#31 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:25 pm

i think this year we may the reverse of things...we may not have 30 storms that form but the ones that do form might make landfall because of the bermuda high! in 1992 hurricane andrew hit in a very slow year as far as numbers.IT ONLY TAKES ONE !
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#32 Postby windycity » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:27 pm

Man oh man, Christy, i got all excited when i saw your post.! I was thinking you had hacked into Greys computer or something when you wrote here it is.!! :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#33 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:28 pm

windycity wrote:Man oh man, Christy, i got all excited when i saw your post.! I was thinking you had hacked into Greys computer or something when you wrote here it is.!! :lol: :lol: :lol:


Calling all hackers!!! LOL j/k :lol:
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#34 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:31 pm

:A: :A: :A: :A: :A: :A: :A: :A: :A: :A: thats nearly impossible!its funny how we are all here waiting!
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#35 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:33 pm

i wish i knew how to hack
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#36 Postby wxman57 » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:34 pm

windycity wrote:hum, interesting analogy. Wouldnt a LaNina reduce shear? And what about 04, strong high ,fair ammount of shear ? Youre the expert wxman 57, and iv learned alot from your posts. Thanks! :bday:


Yes, a La Nina would generally reduce wind shear in the lower tropics. However, a stronger Bermuda High would counter that shear reduction (if it materializes).
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#37 Postby windycity » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:39 pm

It really is ,isnt it? Tonight is the BIG game , yet i want to see Greys report,more!!Much more. In fact, all day long , even at work, i kept hoping it would be on my computer when i got home. Bummer. :(
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#38 Postby windycity » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:44 pm

Now that makes total sense,thanks,wxman ! :cheesy:
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#39 Postby windycity » Mon Apr 03, 2006 7:07 pm

i need to quietly walk away from my computer, the agony of not knowing!!! :cry: :cry:
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#40 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Apr 03, 2006 7:24 pm

The gulf of mexico is heating up aswell as the rest of the Atlantic, it looks alot better than it did in March I say Gray have his numbers up but not as bad as 06'.
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