fact789 wrote:are we talking internationaly because i think tyhoon tip had to be pretty big
I think Tip was 1100 miles in diameter, the largest tropical cyclone on record.
However, I think Tip had more of a "pinhole" eye.
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fact789 wrote:Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:jax wrote:CronkPSU wrote:across the entire peninsula.
Sustained Category 2 winds were recorded over Lake Ockeechobee
A gust was recorded to 76 mph in southern St. Pete by an
unofficial source...and that's over 100 miles northwest of center.
yes i live in st. pete. and we had wind gusts here of at least 60 mph
tbstorm wrote:fact789 wrote:Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:jax wrote:CronkPSU wrote:across the entire peninsula.
Sustained Category 2 winds were recorded over Lake Ockeechobee
A gust was recorded to 76 mph in southern St. Pete by an
unofficial source...and that's over 100 miles northwest of center.
yes i live in st. pete. and we had wind gusts here of at least 60 mph
Uh... more like 45 mph. I'd like to see this 76 mph source and the time.
Calamity posted this in the huge images thread (see page 9)Weatherfreak14 wrote:Any Satilite pics of the biggest eye that can be found.
quandary wrote:jax wrote:CronkPSU wrote:what was wilma crossing the penisula??? had to be close
it was a tropical storm crossing the peninsula....
Derek even said that it might be upgraded to a Cat 4 crossing Florida.
quandary wrote:Derek even said that it [Wilma] might be upgraded to a Cat 4 crossing Florida.
Actually, HRD shows a maximum of 100 kt for Wilma at landfall; also, unlike Katrina, Wilma was strengthening as it made landfall. Every reason to believe remote areas of the southwest Everglades experienced cat 3 winds. And why do you say Katrina didn't have cat 3 winds at landfall, HRD supported minimal cat 3?Margie wrote:quandary wrote:Derek even said that it [Wilma] might be upgraded to a Cat 4 crossing Florida.
Take out the last two words and that is a little closer to the truth. But actually not that close.
What Derek said to me, was that flight level wind measurements support the possibility of Cat 4 winds at the surface. He didn't say specifically where, or when.
It may simply be a reference to the Bahamas.
Otherwise, in all likelyhood not on land...probably prior to Fl landfall, I'd guess when it was NW of the Keys. That is not out of the realm of reasonable possibility, from measured and estimated wind values that can be extrapolated from what was measured at the Keys and Dry Tortugas. That was how I immediately interpreted what he said, anyway, because that was the thing that made sense.
However, if at FL landfall, that would be extremely hard to believe. If so, then it will be interesting to see how it would be possible to justify deviation from all the existing wind measurements across FL, and the AOML HRD model analysis showing a max sustained wind on land at FL landfall of 85 kt (and that only in the very small area of immediate coastline on either side of Big Lostman's Bay), to a jump to 114kt sustained winds (presumably in that same small area). If the model is performing that badly -- off by 29 kts -- I'd be surprised. And that max of 85 kts is less than the max sustained wind the model came up with for Katrina, which it correctly placed in the Gulfport/Biloxi area.
Remember the Katrina report said there was a possibility of Cat 4 winds reaching some of the LA peninsula when making landfall there, even while wind measurements resulted in the identification of Katrina as a Cat 3 at that time.
It is possible that Wilma could similarly be upgraded to a Cat 4 for the time when it was passing to the NW of the Keys, with its strongest winds to the SE of the eye, with the possibility that some Cat 4 winds did reach the Dry Tortugas.
That still leaves Wilma, like Katrina, as a Cat 3 storm just offshore as it made landfall, but with no sustained Cat 3 winds onshore.
Extremeweatherguy wrote:I could believe a *weak* Category 4 at landfall, but I doubt it. Her eye was very ill-shaped and ragged at landfall, and I would have a hard time believing she was a 4. I do, however, think Wilma may have been a *stronger* Cat. 3 at landfall (may be 130mph). By the time she reached Miami though (since her structure was not the best for maintaining intensity), she was probably only a strong Cat. 1, and re-strengthening to a Cat. 2 after reaching the Atlantic. As for a 4 *crossing* the state...there is no way. Were that the case, then we would have seen much worse damage on the east coast.
weunice wrote:Calamity posted this in the huge images thread (see page 9)Weatherfreak14 wrote:Any Satilite pics of the biggest eye that can be found.
"Jelawat undergoes an eyewall replacement cycle, she(?) now has a 90nm eye:"
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