Steve Lyons just said........

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

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donsutherland1
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#21 Postby donsutherland1 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:13 pm

You're welcome, Deltadog03.
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Ivanhater
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#22 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:14 pm

hey, don...any comments on where your thinking it will go and hit on the gulfcoast?
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#23 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:17 pm

ivanhater wrote:hey, don...any comments on where your thinking it will go and hit on the gulfcoast?

Not to steal Don's thunder but here is the thread he is keeping up on the Pro Analysis Forum...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=71201

Keep up the great work, Don. Agree with you and delta that there could be some south of west motion for a little while as the ridge continues to build in. We'll see!
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donsutherland1
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#24 Postby donsutherland1 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:25 pm

Thanks, Jkt21787 for posting the link.

Ivanhater, I have no changes from this morning. My thinking is very similar to the 12z GFDL and ECMWF guidance in terms of Katrina's likely track. Over the past 3 hours, pressures have been increasing to Katrina's north. I believe once the 8 pm and 11 pm guidance comes in, a gradual turn more to the west will be evident.
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