Possible South Florida and then where?

[cajungal]

Looks like those models are taking a sharp dive to the south. If it did that, there is no way it could even hit LA or even the upper TX coast. It would stay way to the south.

[deltadog03]

i think everyone needs to watch...lol...i don't see much of a north turn when it gets to the gulf

[dwg71]

THose are old model runs with an invest #, check models for TD 12

[Jevo]

old models..

try these

[mahicks]

I just dont see a sharp turn N YET for this storm. Most models are showing a strong ridge that wont allow a N turn making the storm move more W. So i do not know what yall are talking about when you say flordia alabama missisipi..I voted TX because i think it will be more south than that even.. but thats the lowest yall put on there.

Notice the models shift W as they think there will be a block in the road making them move more W. Im not saying it could move N just right now following the models it shows west once it gets into the gulf. Correct me if im wrong though

hicksta, From that pic, I wouldn't say "most models", yeah four of them are going in the same general direction, but IMHO...Thats about as "bad consensus" of models that I've seen this year.

I do agree that if it goes south, it will be much further than Texas..

[ronjon]

I just dont see a sharp turn N YET for this storm. Most models are showing a strong ridge that wont allow a N turn making the storm move more W. So i do not know what yall are talking about when you say flordia alabama missisipi..I voted TX because i think it will be more south than that even.. but thats the lowest yall put on there.

Notice the models shift W as they think there will be a block in the road making them move more W. Im not saying it could move N just right now following the models it shows west once it gets into the gulf. Correct me if im wrong though

Actually, the latest GFDL model run turns the storm north along the west coast of FL toward the panhandle.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/imagel ... e=AL122005

[cajungal]

I noticed the NHC has it pointing straight for the MS river at this point. Where is Cleo Brown when you need her?

[deltadog03]

in jail last time i heard...lol

[hicksta]

I just dont see a sharp turn N YET for this storm. Most models are showing a strong ridge that wont allow a N turn making the storm move more W. So i do not know what yall are talking about when you say flordia alabama missisipi..I voted TX because i think it will be more south than that even.. but thats the lowest yall put on there.

Notice the models shift W as they think there will be a block in the road making them move more W. Im not saying it could move N just right now following the models it shows west once it gets into the gulf. Correct me if im wrong though

Actually, the latest GFDL model run turns the storm north along the west coast of FL toward the panhandle.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/imagel ... e=AL122005

If 4 models point one way and 2 the other... What would you choose?? Also the new models show a shift to the S.

[dwg71]

I just dont see a sharp turn N YET for this storm. Most models are showing a strong ridge that wont allow a N turn making the storm move more W. So i do not know what yall are talking about when you say flordia alabama missisipi..I voted TX because i think it will be more south than that even.. but thats the lowest yall put on there.

Notice the models shift W as they think there will be a block in the road making them move more W. Im not saying it could move N just right now following the models it shows west once it gets into the gulf. Correct me if im wrong though

Actually, the latest GFDL model run turns the storm north along the west coast of FL toward the panhandle.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/imagel ... e=AL122005

If 4 models point one way and 2 the other... What would you choose?? Also the new models show a shift to the S.

Those are not current model runs they are 12 hours old, check TD12 thread for current models.

[Rainband]

sigh

[hicksta]

wooops!!! Sorry <3