H. Irene Eye Visible...Strenghtening Likely Underway...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#21 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 16, 2005 1:36 pm

LOOKING GOOD!!!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148499
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#22 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 16, 2005 1:49 pm


NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE IRENE (AL092005) ON 20050816 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050816 1800 050817 0600 050817 1800 050818 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 36.5N 62.0W 37.0N 60.1W 38.4N 56.9W 41.5N 51.7W
BAMM 36.5N 62.0W 37.1N 60.6W 38.3N 58.0W 40.7N 53.8W
A98E 36.5N 62.0W 36.8N 59.8W 38.1N 56.5W 38.1N 53.0W
LBAR 36.5N 62.0W 36.7N 60.1W 37.7N 58.2W 39.6N 55.8W
SHIP 85KTS 85KTS 82KTS 75KTS
DSHP 85KTS 85KTS 82KTS 75KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050818 1800 050819 1800 050820 1800 050821 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 46.1N 45.2W 56.6N 28.3W 64.4N 15.8W 70.0N 12.1W
BAMM 44.3N 47.1W 52.6N 28.8W 57.9N 12.1W 62.9N 1.2W
A98E 39.5N 51.1W 40.0N 49.6W 41.9N 41.3W 43.7N 27.4W
LBAR 42.5N 52.3W 54.0N 35.6W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 68KTS 59KTS 50KTS 34KTS
DSHP 68KTS 59KTS 50KTS 34KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 36.5N LONCUR = 62.0W DIRCUR = 90DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 36.6N LONM12 = 64.0W DIRM12 = 89DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 36.5N LONM24 = 66.5W
WNDCUR = 85KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 75KT
CENPRS = 975MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 70NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 70NM


Now a cat 2 95 mph.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

DoctorHurricane2003

#23 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:08 pm

85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148499
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#24 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:11 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)


There goes another error as Stewart did. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#25 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:12 pm

come on Irene only 15mph to go!!! :wink: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#26 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:22 pm

cycloneye wrote:
DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)


There goes another error as Stewart did. :)


Well, according to my mathematical calculations:

85 knots X 1.152 mph = 97.92 mph.

Thereafter, 100 mph is assumed because 97.92 is closer to 100 than to 95.

100 mph / 1.152 knots = 86.80555.... knots
0 likes   

WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#27 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:27 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)


There goes another error as Stewart did. :)


Well, according to my mathematical calculations:

85 knots X 1.152 mph = 97.92 mph.

Thereafter, 100 mph is assumed because 97.92 is closer to 100 than to 95.

100 mph / 1.152 knots = 86.80555.... knots


nerd :D

<RICKY>
0 likes   

DoctorHurricane2003

#28 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:27 pm

The only time that doesn't work Hurakan is when converting 115 KT...which technically goes to 132.25 MPH, which should round to 130 MPH...BUT since 130 is category 3 and 132.25 is category 4, it is rounded to 135 MPH.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#29 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:28 pm

The eye was wobbling in earlier frames indicating an intensification phase...
0 likes   

Anonymous

#30 Postby Anonymous » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:31 pm

It's gettin flattened on it's western side, and the eye is becoming less defined.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 162 guests