Will Aug be active or have a lull.

[wxwatcher91]

last year is on the left, this year (so far AND my forecast) on the right:
(this is using the BIRTH dates of the storms)

6/ 1-15: 0-0-0; 1-0-0
6/ 16-30: 0-0-0; 1-0-0
7/ 1-15: 0-0-0; 3-2-2
7/ 16-31: 1-1-1; 1-1-0 (forcast on down)(lull)
8/ 1-15: 4-2-1; 3-1-1
8/ 16-31: 3-1-1; 5-3-2
9/ 1-15: 3-2-2; 4-3-2
9/ 16-30: 2-2-1; 1-1-0 (lull)
10/ 1-15: 2-0-0; 3-1-1
10/ 16-31: 0-0-0; 1-0-0
11/ 1-15: 0-0-0; 0-0-0 (lull)
11/ 16-30: 1-0-0; 1-0-0 (and could go into Dec with more)

this forecast was made solely by the current activeness, the expectency of lulls, and also using last year's figures... so not too much behind this

[Hurricaneman]

That would be good

[wxwatcher91]

heck just for the fun of it I'll save my forecast on my computer... I'll bring it up after each 15-day period... might be interesting...

[EDR1222]

It will be interesting to see what happens in August.

In 2002 and 2003, August was relatively slow after July saw some action. Of course the Julys of those two years were nothing like this year.

With the sea surface temperatures being as warm as they are and low surface pressures in the tropics, it should remain fairly active IMHO.

[Hurricaneman]

That could be

[Andrew92]

Just remember....1995 had four storms in July. Then after Felix and Gabrielle formed in August, no more formed for about two more weeks. Felix was around, but nothing else was until it was gone.

Then BOOM, we got five more storms within ten days.

-Andrew92

[Duffy]

In 1998 i think it was....wasn't there FIVE active Storms in the Atlantic Basin at once? does anyone remember what their names were and if any made landfall?