Emily looking worse on satellite...

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wxwatcher91
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#21 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 1:38 pm

Gulf Stream wrote:
dwg71 wrote:or a sign of it dissapating.. the further south it stays the better for US. I just want this one to go away.


Please forgive a newbie question.....I have seen this referred to in a couple of places here. What makes the "area further South" so disruptive to a system's development?

....BTW, finally registered here after lurking and learning from you guys for the past 10 months or so (found this site during Ivan).
Ya'lls info has been very helpful to me here at work, as I have to "work thru" these storms here in the Mobile area.


well first of all it could run into central America and then do nothing to the US. the main thing though that limits the potential of a storm further south is that as you get closer to the equator there is less of the Coriolus Effect working on it which means less rotation
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#22 Postby Patrick99 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:07 pm

There's always gotta be at least one sacrificial lamb....Emily may be it. She looks pathetic at the moment. Yesterday the convection started bombing as the sun went down...let's see if the same thing happens today.
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#23 Postby Gulf Stream » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:09 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote: the main thing though that limits the potential of a storm further south is that as you get closer to the equator there is less of the Coriolus Effect working on it which means less rotation



Thanks for the info, sorta what I thought......
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#24 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:23 pm

Improving on latest frames.


Emily is still 267*


Center is near 11.05


Looks like all systems go after slight stall...
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#25 Postby dwg71 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:26 pm

Sanibel wrote:Improving on latest frames.


Emily is still 267*


Center is near 11.05


Looks like all systems go after slight stall...


What frames, I see convection spit out to the NW, but its well removed from center. Lets see what it looks like in 6 hours.
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#26 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jul 12, 2005 2:35 pm

This due west course (with the center seeming to adjust itself a touch more south on occasion) is really not good for her health. She badly needs a turn to the northwest for her situation to improve. Right now she is looking a little parched...
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#27 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:06 pm

Image

Poeple pray for the spirit of Emily, she's is on life support!
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#28 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:07 pm

I'm praying for her.
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#29 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:14 pm

Im not. Die Emily die!

<RICKY>
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#30 Postby dwg71 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:14 pm

I want to pull the plug, where is that pesky cord?
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#31 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:16 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Im not. Die Emily die!

<RICKY>


I concur.
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#32 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:17 pm

Image

Beautiful structure...Just because this thing has been waining in convection is no reason to state..."ITS DYING" it most certainly is not dying. Its in one of those periods systems that are still relativley low in strength go thru where convection wains only to come back.
Last edited by Wnghs2007 on Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:24 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#33 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:19 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Image

Beautiful structure...Just because this thing has been waining in convection is no reason to state..."ITS DYING" it most certainly is not dieing. Its in one of those periods systems that are still relativley low in strength go thru where convection wains only to come back.

Yeah, the outflow and overall structure is beautiful. Emily is not dead yet.
Wait for the convective maximum tonight, it could all come back...
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#34 Postby Mathias » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:24 pm

By looking at the water vapor floater, it looks like Emily is about to ingest a lot of dry that is to it's west; however, I do not know what level of the atmosphere that it is at in relation to Emily, or if she will actually cross paths with this.
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#35 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:29 pm

Mathias wrote:By looking at the water vapor floater, it looks like Emily is about to ingest a lot of dry that is to it's west; however, I do not know what level of the atmosphere that it is at in relation to Emily, or if she will actually cross paths with this.
Not too sure if that'll happen. Emily and that patch of dry air have been moving together towards the west. If Emily accelerates tho, it could start to gobble it up, I suppose.
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#36 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:30 pm

she looks really healthy to me....just because she dosn't have mega storms dosn't mean that she is not healthy...very very good structrualy
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#37 Postby weatherwindow » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:30 pm

definite moisture deficit.......i see an open wave in our future..altho, my crystal ball is covered in fingerprints :roll: ......rich
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#38 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:33 pm

We'll probably see posts about the big blow up of convection that will inevitably happen soon.

Wnghs has it right. That structure is fine. It is very vulnerable to the graveyard effect right now, but if it was being seriously affected it would open more in a line instead of having that excellent swirl...
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#39 Postby wx247 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:41 pm

Thanks wnghs for backing me up. :lol: This system has continued to look good all afternoon on the visible shots.
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#40 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 12, 2005 3:43 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I'm praying for her.


Me too. :cry:

Please don't be as lame as the last time you were Emily:

Image
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