TS Haitang at WPAC=Final Advisorie

[P.K.]

Ah, that is where this thread got to.

The official forecast:

T0505 (HAITANG)

WTPQ20 RJTD 130900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0505 HAITANG (0505)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130900UTC 22.0N 147.7E FAIR
MOVE WSW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
30KT 160NM SOUTHWEST 120NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 140900UTC 20.5N 142.5E 80NM 70%
MOVE WSW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
45HF 150600UTC 19.9N 136.1E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
69HF 160600UTC 20.9N 129.8E 220NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT =

[cycloneye]

132100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 21.3N 145.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 145.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 20.6N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 023 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
023 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
023 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
023 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 041 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
061 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
068 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
062 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 089 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
122 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
118 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 20.1N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 031 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
031 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
031 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
032 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 052 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
071 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
067 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 103 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
124 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
131 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
124 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 19.9N 136.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
036 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 058 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
066 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
069 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 113 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
128 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 20.3N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
038 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
038 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
039 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 063 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
068 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 121 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
128 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
131 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 22.0N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 042 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
042 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 069 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
071 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
071 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 132 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
132 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
132 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 24.3N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 27.5N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 145.2E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST
OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS AN EMBEDDED
CENTER WITH A WELL ESTABLISHED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.//




Will miss Taiwan.A major typhoon is forecasted.

[cycloneye]

140300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 20.5N 144.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 144.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 20.0N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 024 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
023 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
024 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
024 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 041 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
057 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
058 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
118 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
126 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
114 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.6N 138.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 029 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
029 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
029 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 049 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
062 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
127 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
121 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 19.8N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 036 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
036 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 058 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
068 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
067 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 112 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
124 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
128 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
126 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 20.3N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
038 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
038 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
039 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 063 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
067 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
069 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 121 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
127 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
129 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.1N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 042 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
042 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 069 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
071 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 132 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
132 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
131 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 25.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 27.7N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 143.9E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST
OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000 IS 23 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.//

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

WTPN31 PGTW 140900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 142.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 142.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.9N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 024 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
027 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
027 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
027 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 048 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
057 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
058 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
118 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
126 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
114 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 19.9N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
031 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
031 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
032 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 054 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
062 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 111 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
121 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
127 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
121 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 20.4N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 036 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
037 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
037 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
038 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 062 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
067 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
129 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
127 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 21.4N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
039 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
039 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 066 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
068 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
069 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 127 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
129 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
131 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 23.3N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 042 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
042 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
042 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
042 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
071 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 136 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
134 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
133 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
136 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 25.5N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 28.1N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 141.5E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTH OF
IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 141500Z, 142100Z, 150300Z AND 150900Z.//
NNNN

[tim_in_ga]

Weird - Taiwan's own government weather bureau has this typhoon tracking right into Taiwan:

http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V4/typhoon/news/TYtracenew.jpg

[P.K.]

The official forecast is centred around Taiwan.



T0505 (HAITANG)

WTPQ20 RJTD 140900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0505 HAITANG (0505)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140900UTC 19.7N 141.8E FAIR
MOVE WSW 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 200NM SOUTHWEST 140NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 150900UTC 19.4N 134.7E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
45HF 160600UTC 21.0N 129.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
69HF 170600UTC 22.7N 124.9E 220NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT =

[tim_in_ga]

Well, I guess the question is "who's really official?"

I tend to rely on the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, who shows a bit different track (although it still will affect Taiwan to some degree):

http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/wp0505.gif

[P.K.]

Well, I guess the question is "who's really official?"

The Japan Meteorological Agency is the RSMC (Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre) for the West Pacific.

The JTWC isn't official, to quote from their page.

JTWC products on this website are intended for use by U.S. government agencies. Please consult your national meteorological agency or the appropriate World Meteorological Organization Regional Specialized Meteorological Center for tropical cyclone products pertinent to your country, region and/or local area.

[tim_in_ga]

Well, I guess the question is "who's really official?"

The Japan Meteorological Agency is the RSMC (Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre) for the West Pacific.

The JTWC isn't official, to quote from their page.

JTWC products on this website are intended for use by U.S. government agencies. Please consult your national meteorological agency or the appropriate World Meteorological Organization Regional Specialized Meteorological Center for tropical cyclone products pertinent to your country, region and/or local area.

Cool, thanks for the info.

I guess I was a little confused since I recognize the JTWC graphics, but the graphics you posted contain no information as to where it came from. We'll see how this one goes. I know my wife's family in Taiwan would appreciate some relief from the oppressive heat, but they don't need a direct hit. They got hit 8 or 9 times last year, well above the average. And this year they have seen a huge amount of rain already. Their lack of good flood control and land conservation measures are really coming to light now.

[cycloneye]

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 19.6N 140.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 140.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 19.3N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 022 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
022 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 048 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
054 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
054 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
048 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 101 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
113 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
114 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
103 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 19.4N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 028 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
028 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
058 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
058 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 111 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
117 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
118 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
112 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 20.1N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 033 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
034 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
034 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
033 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
062 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
062 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
122 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
122 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 21.4N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
039 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
039 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
038 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 066 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
067 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
066 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
066 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 128 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
128 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
127 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
127 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 23.3N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 042 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
042 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
042 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
042 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 071 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 136 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
133 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
131 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
134 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 25.4N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 28.3N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 139.8E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 815 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z,
150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.//

NNNN

[cycloneye]

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 19.6N 138.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 138.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 19.5N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 022 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
062 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 102 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
107 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
121 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 20.0N 132.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
031 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
031 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 056 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 112 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
113 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
103 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 20.8N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
036 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 061 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
066 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 121 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
126 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 21.8N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 066 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
066 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 127 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
122 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 23.8N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 041 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
041 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 136 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
132 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
132 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
132 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 26.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 27.8N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 138.0E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 735 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 25
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z.//

[cycloneye]

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 19.4N 136.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N 136.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 19.7N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 026 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
022 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
022 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 062 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
101 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
106 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 20.4N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 031 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
031 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
052 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 117 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 21.2N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 036 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
036 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
057 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
117 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
123 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 22.0N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
062 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
121 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
122 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 23.9N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 042 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
041 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 072 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
071 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 26.3N 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 27.9N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 136.0E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 640 NM SOUTHEAST
OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z

[HURAKAN]

If I were in Taipei I would watch very carefully this system.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

** WTPQ20 BABJ 150600 ***
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 150600 UTC
00HR 19.0N 135.0E 955HPA 45M/S
30KTS 500KM
50KTS 200KM
P12HR W 30KM/H
P+24HR 20.6N 127.0E 940HPA 50M/S
P+48HR 24.0N 123.3E 930HPA 55M/S
P+72HR 26.7N 120.7E 930HPA 55M/S=


** WTJP21 RJTD 150600 ***
WARNING 150600.
WARNING VALID 160600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 0505 HAITANG (0505) 955 HPA
AT 19.1N 134.9E SOUTHWEST OF PARECE VERA MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 20.2N 129.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 22.4N 124.6E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 24.0N 122.4E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


** WTPQ20 RJTD 150600 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0505 HAITANG (0505)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150600UTC 19.1N 134.9E GOOD
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTHEAST 220NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 160600UTC 20.2N 129.1E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
48HF 170600UTC 22.4N 124.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
72HF 180600UTC 24.0N 122.4E 220NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT =


** WTPQ30 RJTD 150600 ***

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TY 0505 HAITANG (0505)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
POSITION ACCURACY AT 150600 UTC IS GOOD.
TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN DECELERAT
E.
TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE TO WEST-NORTHWEST
.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FI-NUMBER WILL BE 6.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.=


** WTPN31 PGTW 150900 ***
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 19.1N 134.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 134.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 19.2N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 028 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
027 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
027 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
028 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
064 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
064 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
108 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
109 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
111 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 19.9N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
034 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
034 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 069 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
068 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
068 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
069 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 118 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
118 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 20.9N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 038 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
037 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
037 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
038 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
121 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
121 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
124 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 21.9N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
039 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
039 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 072 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
071 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
126 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
129 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 23.4N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
038 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
037 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
038 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 068 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
066 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
067 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 136 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
131 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
128 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
133 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 25.8N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 27.3N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 134.0E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM SOUTH-
EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 27 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//


** WTPN31 PGTW 150900 ***
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/

[tim_in_ga]

The latest track this AM (http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/wp0505.gif) shows Haitang plowing right into the middle of Taiwan. This will put it in into Hualien, a decent-sized city on the middle of the east coast. Cities up the coast like Ilan, and maybe even the big shipping-port city of Keelung will also be heavily affected if this course stays true. The 10,000+ foot mountains on the east side of Taiwan should weaken Haitang quite a bit. The east coast highway, which hangs precariously along the mountains that rise straight from the sea, was not in good shape when I was there 8 months ago. This storm will have a severe impact on that road. Fortunately the mid to upper east coast is sparsely populated, except for the few cities I mentioned. The big problem will be mudslides and flooding in northern Taiwan. There's a lot of bare slopes where previous landslides were happening this spring. I hope people there are clearing out the first floor of their houses, because this is going to be a mess!

[P.K.]

Up to 85kts now:

T0505 (HAITANG)

WTPQ20 RJTD 151500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0505 HAITANG (0505)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151500UTC 19.4N 132.7E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 280NM NORTHEAST 250NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 161500UTC 21.3N 126.5E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 095KT
45HF 171200UTC 23.1N 123.5E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 095KT
69HF 181200UTC 25.1N 121.7E 220NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT =

[cycloneye]

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 19.3N 133.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 133.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 19.8N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 064 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
064 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
064 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 117 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
116 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
116 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
118 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 20.5N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 036 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
036 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 068 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
067 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
067 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
068 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 123 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
123 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 21.3N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
039 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
038 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
039 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 127 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
124 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
124 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
127 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 22.3N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 041 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
041 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 072 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
071 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
071 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 132 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
128 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
126 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 24.2N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
034 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
033 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
034 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 063 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
061 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
062 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 136 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
131 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
128 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
133 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 26.1N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 28.1N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 19.4N 132.7E.
TYPHOON (TY) 05W (HAITANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 525 NM SOUTH-
EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 30 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z.//

[HURAKAN]

Poor Taiwan, if Haitang impacts directly the island with this force it could become the strongest typhoon to the the island since Bilis in 2000.

[cycloneye]

Earlier the track was away from Taiwan but things change and now they are in the bulls eye.

[HURAKAN]

SUBJ: TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 018
WTPN31 PGTW 152100
1. TYPHOON 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 19.5N 131.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 131.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 20.1N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 064 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
064 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
064 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 117 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
116 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
116 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
118 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 21.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 036 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
036 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 068 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
067 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
067 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
068 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 123 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
123 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 21.9N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
069 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 127 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
127 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 23.0N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 041 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
041 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 072 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
071 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 132 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 24.6N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
033 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
034 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 26.4N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 28.1N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 131.1E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800 IS 32 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z.





Haitang nears super typhoon status.