Ivan making a run at Cat 5 again

Guest · #21 Postby **Guest** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:23 pm

937mb now

shaner · #22 Postby **shaner** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:26 pm

Ixolib wrote:
PrincessTiger wrote:Will they send planes into anymore today?????

They just reported here that the surf is about 12feet from the back steps of the FloraBama now, for those that know where that is.

Good thing they built the FlorBama like they did - no solid walls south to north - just a big area that'll let the surge flow through. Smart move on their part.

Is that sarcasm? Or are you serious?

#23 Postby **AdvAutoBob** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:44 pm

Possum Trot wrote:
Clint_TX wrote:It's going through a phase that could get the pressure in the mid 920's but I doubt Cat 5, the mesovortexes may cause near 5 damage tho...

Mesovortexes?? Please explain?

Mesovortices are bursts of wind, usually within the eyewall windfield that are similar to tornadoes. Areas hard hit usually look as if tornadoes have hit (ex - Andrew) rather than a large wind event.

Ixolib · #24 Postby **Ixolib** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:46 pm

shaner wrote:
Ixolib wrote:
PrincessTiger wrote:Will they send planes into anymore today?????

They just reported here that the surf is about 12feet from the back steps of the FloraBama now, for those that know where that is.

Good thing they built the FlorBama like they did - no solid walls south to north - just a big area that'll let the surge flow through. Smart move on their part.
Is that sarcasm? Or are you serious?

No, serious. It's built so that the surge can flow through, thereby resulting in relatively little structural damage.

HurricaneBill · #25 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:18 pm

x-y-no wrote:I don't think he can strengthen that much in the room he's got. But he does look to be intensifying again.

Kind of like Isidore? Isidore's pressure dropped to 934 mb at landfall on the Yucatan, but sustained winds were at 125 mph. Did Isidore pretty much run out of time for the winds to increase?

CanisD · #26 Postby **CanisD** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:20 pm

937mb latest report

dennis1x1 · #27 Postby **dennis1x1** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:24 pm

the IR is looking downright frightening.....that smooth perfectly round cat 5 appearance eye is extremely evident.......and all in 3 hours.

#28 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:28 pm

Ivan won't make CAT 5, but pretty damn close to it.

I will up my landfall winds to 145-150 substained

dennis1x1 · #29 Postby **dennis1x1** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:33 pm

it may not make landfall as a cat 5......but i wouldnt be surprised if he achieved cat 5 sometime before then.....i mean this isnt your ordinary everyday satellite stengthening trend......this is unreal..

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... N-882W.jpg

Josephine96 · #30 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:36 pm

It'll be interesting to see what they say at the 5pm advisory

#31 Postby **wlfpack81** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:42 pm

Man that sat image is scary. I don't think it'll hit Cat 5 b/c waters are shallow along the coast but 145-150mph looks very possible before it hits land. I fear for Mobile big time. This is that major city strike people have been worrying about. True it's not 1 mi in pop but around half a million could get affected by the eyewall between Mobile and areas just to west of the eye.

Tri-State_1925 · #32 Postby **Tri-State_1925** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:21 pm

I see a lot of "bold" predictions here. Too bad nobody made them yesterday...

#33 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:24 pm

Tri-State_1925 wrote:I see a lot of "bold" predictions here. Too bad nobody made them yesterday...

I made mine on Sept 8, around Gulfport MS Strong Cat 4 135-145mph winds

Ivan making a run at Cat 5 again

Re: Ivan making a run at Cat 5 again

Who is online