When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

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vbhoutex
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#21 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jun 04, 2012 6:53 pm

June 19
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#22 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 04, 2012 8:09 pm

June 20th
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#23 Postby Nikki » Mon Jun 04, 2012 9:46 pm

June 21
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#24 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Jun 05, 2012 3:11 pm

Sometime around June 16th-21st.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#25 Postby 92sman » Wed Jun 06, 2012 9:44 pm

My gut says June 20th-25thish. Anytime in late June seems to be the most likely time.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#26 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Wed Jun 06, 2012 10:56 pm

Don't think will see a named TS until first week of july. Maybe a sheared td before then but no named storm.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#27 Postby angelwing » Thu Jun 07, 2012 5:59 am

Hmmmmm......I am debating between 2 dates...think I will go with the hubby's bd-July 2 :P
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#28 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 07, 2012 7:53 am

92sman wrote:My gut says June 20th-25thish. Anytime in late June seems to be the most likely time.


That is the same dates that I am going with. GFS always jumps the gun on its long range forecast. It always happens later than sooner.
That is if nothing spins up from the frontal boundaries closer to the SE US over the next week or two.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#29 Postby HurricaneRyan » Tue Jun 12, 2012 3:32 am

My guess is that it will be between the day I take my placements tests for college (June 15th) and the day I throw my graduation party (July 14th)

So, June 15th to July 14th is my time frame. My biggest bets are between June 24 - 29 and July 3 - 9
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#30 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 25, 2012 9:22 am

I know this may be obvious but something to think about when predicting this season. Thus far the idea of homebrews have come into fruition. What's also interesting is the couplets between the EPAC and NATL. Of course we can credit this to the MJO as it's often the ignition for storms closer to home. Aletta/Alberto, Bud/Beryl, Carlotta/Chris (Debby also may have sparked from activity via Carlotta). All within a week's time from each other (the two basins). So if you want to predict the next system in the Atlantic take a look to see what's happening in the EPAC :P
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#31 Postby HurricaneRyan » Thu Jul 12, 2012 12:09 pm

Ntxw wrote:I know this may be obvious but something to think about when predicting this season. Thus far the idea of homebrews have come into fruition. What's also interesting is the couplets between the EPAC and NATL. Of course we can credit this to the MJO as it's often the ignition for storms closer to home. Aletta/Alberto, Bud/Beryl, Carlotta/Chris (Debby also may have sparked from activity via Carlotta). All within a week's time from each other (the two basins). So if you want to predict the next system in the Atlantic take a look to see what's happening in the EPAC :P


I don't know about that now, considering Daniel, Emilia, and Fabio have all formed in the EPAC and there's no E storm yet.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#32 Postby StormClouds63 » Fri Jul 13, 2012 7:57 pm

Ernesto ... August 14.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#33 Postby gigabite » Fri Jul 13, 2012 8:19 pm

28 July
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#34 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jul 13, 2012 8:24 pm

August 8th.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#35 Postby hcane27 » Fri Jul 13, 2012 8:31 pm

August 21
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#36 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Jul 13, 2012 8:53 pm

August 6th
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#37 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sat Jul 14, 2012 12:55 am

August 25th
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#38 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Jul 14, 2012 9:27 am

July 21, off of a summer cold front that makes it to the GOM.
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#39 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Jul 14, 2012 9:43 am

first week of aug
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Re: When can we expect next named storm in Atlantic?

#40 Postby amawea » Sat Jul 14, 2012 12:13 pm

StormClouds63 wrote:Ernesto ... August 14.


I like the way you think. That is the first date that popped into my head also.
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