2011 Tropical Waves

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RL3AO
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#21 Postby RL3AO » Tue May 31, 2011 10:41 am

I guess the big headache will be when some wave magically pops up in the EPac surface analysis and trying to trace it back.
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#22 Postby wxman57 » Tue May 31, 2011 11:15 am

RL3AO wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Just keep an eye on the continuity from day to day. Waves don't generally just dissipate (like #3 along 73W). They're just harder to identify at times.


Heres what the TWD said for wave 3


TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS INLAND OVER COLOMBIA ALONG 72W/73W S OF
13N HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF LOWER PRESSURE AND HAS BEEN
DROPPED FROM THE SURFACE ANALYSIS.


I'll bet that it'll be identifiable again once it moves into the East Pac. Just because it's harder to see doesn't mean it's gone. In fact, #3 appears to be the feature that's helping to enhance convection in the SW Caribbean along 78-79W today. I can see it moving westward through that area.
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#23 Postby RL3AO » Fri Jun 03, 2011 7:33 am

Waves 4 and 5 have disappeared into our Caribbean system. We'll see if they magically reappear in the Pacific.
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#24 Postby RL3AO » Sat Jun 04, 2011 3:44 pm

Tropical Wave #8

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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#25 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 08, 2011 4:23 pm

Tropical Wave #9 Introduced at 18z

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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#26 Postby TheBurn » Wed Jun 08, 2011 6:44 pm

Kinda early in the game, eh...

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#27 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jun 08, 2011 8:58 pm

TPW hasn't been updating for a couple of days now. Might have to stick with regular sat images.
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#28 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 10, 2011 6:05 am

Tropical Wave 10 introduced at 06z

Near 40W.

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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#29 Postby RL3AO » Fri Jun 10, 2011 2:50 pm

cycloneye wrote:Tropical Wave #9 Introduced at 18z

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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#30 Postby RL3AO » Fri Jun 10, 2011 2:58 pm

cycloneye wrote:Tropical Wave 10 introduced at 06z

Near 40W.

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#31 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Jun 10, 2011 7:19 pm

Noticed that #10 flared with a good bit of convection today and seems to be separating from the ITCZ.
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#32 Postby TheBurn » Mon Jun 13, 2011 7:21 am

Would this be #10 approaching South Am?

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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#33 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jun 13, 2011 8:43 am

Its probably related. The actual wave is a bit ahead of the convection.
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#34 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:23 am

The wave added yesterday near Panama might be wave 8. I'll have to look into it more.
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#35 Postby bvigal » Mon Jun 13, 2011 11:03 am

How did #10 get ahead of #9, did he run over him?
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#36 Postby TheBurn » Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:20 pm

bvigal wrote:How did #10 get ahead of #9, did he run over him?

Only thing I think of is that the one behind (further east, #9) was introduced before the one ahead (#10) showed its signature... :?:
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#37 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:31 pm

TheBurn wrote:
bvigal wrote:How did #10 get ahead of #9, did he run over him?

Only thing I think of is that the one behind (further east, #9) was introduced before the one ahead (#10) showed its signature... :?:


Correct.
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#38 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Jun 13, 2011 1:29 pm

Believe #10 is the wave GFS gets going in the western Carib. and into the BOC come the last week of June.
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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#39 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:03 pm

Wave #11 Introduced on 6/14/11 at 00z around 20W

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Re: 2011 Tropical Waves

#40 Postby GCANE » Tue Jun 14, 2011 6:27 am

FIM is showing a pretty good amplitude wave south of PR on Sunday with strong latent heat flux.

At this point, CAPE looks moderate at about 1500.

Need to watch and see if shear clears out by then.

Dynamic tropopause is forecast to be relatively high at somewhere around 370 to 380K.

The whole Carib and west GOM will be caught up in a UL High by then.


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