Pouch PGI61L in Central Atlantic

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cycloneye
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Re: Pouch PGI61L in Eastern Atlantic

#21 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 18, 2010 6:39 pm

No more mention of this area at TWO's.
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Re: Pouch PGI61L in Eastern Atlantic

#22 Postby expat2carib » Mon Oct 18, 2010 6:56 pm

Good. Was expected though.
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#23 Postby Gustywind » Tue Oct 19, 2010 5:36 am

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Shuriken

#24 Postby Shuriken » Tue Oct 19, 2010 5:56 pm

Everybody wants it in the central Caribbean now: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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Re: Pouch PGI61L in Eastern Atlantic

#25 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 21, 2010 2:04 pm

Image

Circulation is pretty good and convection has increased all day. Surprised the NHC didn't mention it.
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Re: Pouch PGI61L in Eastern Atlantic

#26 Postby Shuriken » Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:01 pm

I don't get it either; it's had a fully closed circulation for over 24hrs, and it doesn't even have a "near 0%" tag up. (There is a 10%, but it's farther east near the CVs.)
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#27 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:24 pm

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very deep convection close to the center
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Re: Pouch PGI61L in Eastern Atlantic

#28 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:33 pm

Maybe NHC mentions it at the 8 PM TWO.
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Re: Pouch PGI61L in Eastern Atlantic

#29 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 21, 2010 6:52 pm

Indeed,they mention it.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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#30 Postby abajan » Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:41 pm

As is the case with the system to its east, I fully expect this to recurve well before it gets anywhere near our region. That's assuming it even develops.
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#31 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 21, 2010 10:16 pm

Image

vorticity is quite strong
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Florida1118

#32 Postby Florida1118 » Fri Oct 22, 2010 12:39 am

A LARGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT
...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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#33 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 22, 2010 10:35 am

Image

latest
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