I'm still wondering when we are going to have our next "landfalling" storm...
We have the CV storms, but there doesn't seem to be any good chances of development in the gulf or carib according to the model plots anytime soon..
So UNLESS one of the CV storms changes track and heads to the US, it looks like we may be in the clear going into the 2nd week of September without any landfalling storms. Again, I'm basing this off on the models not forecasting any development. They seemed to have really backed away from the Carib and Gulf storms they were forecasting a few days ago...
It makes me when we will get our next landfalling storm, September? October? Strange season indeed....
When is the Gulf and Carib going to explode???
Bastardi on the record
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>>Maybe he said that in a recent video, but his preseason forecast says "landfalls" not "impacts"!
They have it a few different ways including the boxed # of storms surrounding the coast which shows 7. So 7 or 8, landfalls or impacts, he has his message out there. Late season, barrage of storms numbering 18-21, a spray centered at Florida between Brownsville and Cape Hatteras, 5 hurricanes (including 2 majors) landfalling/impacting the US Coast and 3 tropical storms. I give him credit for going out as far on the limb as he has. I don't know if that forecast is right, because I think the number and the U.S. impacts are too high. Where I do agree with him is on the Western Basin threat, a later season and probably a couple/few US hurricane impacts (though not 5). He always says he's going to lay it out there and you can be the judge of it at the end. There isn't much dispute on what his ideas are for the 2010 season. We will see.
They have it a few different ways including the boxed # of storms surrounding the coast which shows 7. So 7 or 8, landfalls or impacts, he has his message out there. Late season, barrage of storms numbering 18-21, a spray centered at Florida between Brownsville and Cape Hatteras, 5 hurricanes (including 2 majors) landfalling/impacting the US Coast and 3 tropical storms. I give him credit for going out as far on the limb as he has. I don't know if that forecast is right, because I think the number and the U.S. impacts are too high. Where I do agree with him is on the Western Basin threat, a later season and probably a couple/few US hurricane impacts (though not 5). He always says he's going to lay it out there and you can be the judge of it at the end. There isn't much dispute on what his ideas are for the 2010 season. We will see.
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